Precision embroidery manufacturing purpose-built for Bangladesh's $1.02B modest fashion market (BD-domestic TAM; $4.14B BD+GCC regional TAM). Four Dahao A18 CNC units. 64.3% gross margin. Day-0 validated demand. Automated CNC embroidery at competitive domestic pricing.
The ultimate vision: AURAQ Signature — a world-class modest fashion brand, built for every generation from age 10 to 60, male & female. Crafted in Bangladesh. Worn by the world.
Capital Raise
৳18,000,000 BDT / ~$163,636 USD
25% Equity · Post-Money Valuation: ৳72,000,000 BDT · Working Capital Buffer: ৳3,500,000
∫ → ∞
SYSTEMS · INTEGRATED · SCALABLE
| PARAMETER | DETAILS |
|---|---|
| Company Name | Auraq Apparel & Embellishment |
| Operational Focus | B2B High-Precision Embroidery & Automated Embellishment |
| Founder & CEO | Anik Islam Sunny |
| Factory Location | Narayanganj Industrial Zone (single site, Phase 1) |
| Legal Status | Private Limited (Registration in progress · post-close) |
| Contact Architecture | founder@goauraq.com · +880 1888675871 |
| Digital Presence | goauraq.com |
| Capital Structure | ৳18,000,000 BDT · 25% Investor / 75% Founder · Hybrid RBF + Equity · Post-Money Val: ৳72M |
| Core Vision | Transitioning Bangladesh's Modest Fashion sector from fragmented manual labor to predictable, machine-certified precision manufacturing at Industry 4.0 standard. |
Private Limited Company registration — RJSC (Registrar of Joint Stock Companies, Bangladesh) filing in progress. Estimated registration completion: within 60 days of investment closing. Investment structured with milestone escrow: 20% of capital released post-incorporation certificate issuance. Full legal framework operational before production commencement. RJSC, VAT/BIN, Trade License & DoE Clearance to be finalized post-investment-close (60-90 day window).
Auraq is a precision embroidery manufacturing operation designed to capture the \$12M+ Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) — the Phase 1–2 combined BD + GCC modest fashion embellishment segment. Y1 SOM ceiling (theoretical) = \$1.2M (10% of \$12M SOM); actual Y1 revenue target = \$137K (৳15.04M) — hardware-capacity-bounded entry reflecting real ramp-up, not SOM ceiling. Year 1 ARR of ৳15.04M (volatility-modeled) at ৳2.80 blended entry rate validates this entry-stage capture.
Unlike traditional factories burdened by middleman markups and manual inconsistencies, Auraq executes vertical integration: sourcing high-speed CNC machinery directly from China, automating complex bead/sequin workflows, and deploying in-house digital punching (IP) via the Dahao A18 Control System.
✦ Multi-Tier Pricing Architecture — Design-to-Execution
Tier 1 — Standard Blended Rate
৳2.80 /1,000 stitches
Core B2B embroidery · 64.3% Gross Margin
COGS ৳0.998/1K · Bottom-up verified
Tier 2 — Premium Custom Design Rate
৳3.20 /1,000 stitches
★ Near-zero incremental cost upsell — see Tier 2 footnote
Tier 3 — Export / GCC Direct Rate
৳6.50 – ৳6.80 /1K
Phase 2 onward: Dubai, Saudi Arabia, Qatar direct B2B. 2.4× revenue multiplier · EBIT margin 55%+
Corporate Bulk Contract Rate
Custom SLA Pricing
500M+ stitches/month volume contracts. Min. ৳1,200,000/mo contract value. Negotiated above Tier 1 floor.
Auraq's Phase 3 roadmap integrates a 21-Day "Design-to-Rack" Lead Time — combining Shein's AI-driven micro-trend design algorithms (real-time social media signal analysis) with Zara's agile manufacturing model (small-batch reactive production). Instead of guessing seasonal trends, Auraq deploys public reaction data (TikTok/Reels watch-time, comment sentiment, share velocity) as live R&D signals, directly informing embroidery pattern priorities, bead/sequin design choices, and e-commerce UI/UX. This creates a self-reinforcing loop: content → data → design → product → re-engagement — dramatically reducing inventory risk while maximizing viral relevance.
| LAYER | VALUE | DERIVATION FORMULA | SOURCE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global TAM | $357B $92B embellished | DinarStandard State of Global Islamic Economy 2023–24: Global Islamic Fashion market = $357B (full value chain: manufacturing + wholesale + retail + accessories). Consumer-spend subset: 2.0B Muslim pop × 25% fashion-active × $71.40/yr = $35.7B direct consumer spend. DinarStandard's $357B is the broader market value including supply chain — directly cited, not derived. Sub-seg: $357B × 25.8% embellished share = $92B. | DinarStandard State of Global Islamic Economy 2023–24 (p.47 — Fashion & Apparel chapter) |
| Regional TAM (BD+GCC) | $4.14B | BD: 170M × 12% demo × $50/yr = $1.02B · GCC: 60M × 13% premium × $400/yr = $3.12B · Total = $4.14B [$400/yr = conservative modest fashion spend per GCC premium consumer, per GCC Retail Council 2023 category spend data — prior $1,000/yr figure revised downward for accuracy] | BBS Census 2022; GCC Retail Council 2023; DinarStandard |
| SAM (Broad) BD+GCC embellish. | $211M vs $125M Slide 05 (BD B2B only) | $4.14B × 5.1% precision embellishment share = $211M. Slide 05 uses $125M = BD precision B2B only (narrower Phase 1 scope). Both correct for their scope — BD-only SAM ($125M) is the conservative base; BD+GCC SAM ($211M) is Phase 2 full scope. SOM $12M = 5.7% of BD+GCC SAM — highly achievable. | BGMEA Premium Segment Study 2023 |
| SOM Phase 1 | $12M | $211M × 5.7% = $12M · Capacity-bounded: 544M stitches/mo × 12mo × ৳2.80/1K ÷ 110 BDT/USD | Own capacity model — hardware-constrained |
| Y1 Revenue ⚠ actual, not ceiling | $137K (৳15.04M) | Volatility-modeled Y1 ramp (30%→85% util). Y1 SOM ceiling = $1.2M (at 100% capacity). Actual = 11.5% of ceiling — conservative ramp assumption. | Slide 18–19 detailed monthly model |
| Operator Type | BD Count | Monthly Capacity | Automation | Pricing | Key Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manual / hand-embroidery workshops | 12,000–15,000 | 5–20M stitches | None | ৳3.40–৳5.00/1K | Defect 8–12% · 14–21d lead · inconsistent quality |
| Single/2-head CNC (informal import) | ~200–400 | 8–15M stitches | Partial | ৳3.00–৳3.80/1K | No volume · no ESG documentation · no consistency |
| Multi-head formal (RMG-attached) | <10 known | 50–200M stitches | Semi | ৳2.50–৳3.20/1K | Captive — not available to open boutique market |
| AURAQ (post-investment) | 1 — First Mover | 544M stitches/mo | Full CNC 24-head | ৳2.80/1K Tier 1 | First open-access automated embroidery factory at scale in BD boutique sector · 12–18mo replication barrier |
HS5810 + HS6209: BD imports from China + UAE = $28–34M/yr (EPB FY2023 · NBR). Direct displacement at 22% lower cost.
Import: 45–90 days (L/C + freight). AURAQ: 7–14 days. For Eid orders, domestic sourcing eliminates largest boutique operational risk.
BD 2023 import-substitution policy: domestic VAS textile producers eligible for 2% cash incentive on domestic sales. AURAQ qualifies from Y2.
BD embellished apparel segment growing at 14.2% CAGR (DinarStandard 2023–24). Eid + BD growing middle class driving sustained demand.
| LAYER | VALUE | SOURCE & DERIVATION |
|---|---|---|
| Global TAM | $357B | Global modest fashion market 2023 (DinarStandard 2023 Report). CAGR 5.6% p.a. |
| Regional TAM | $4.2B | GCC abaya + embellished garment imports: UAE + Saudi HS Code 6204/6211 (ITC Trade Map 2023) |
| SAM | $125M | BD precision embroidery B2B ৳850–1,100Cr + GCC-reachable Phase 2 segment (BGMEA VAS Report 2023, EPB). CAGR 12.4% |
| SOM | $12M+ | SAM × realistic capture at Phase 1–2. BD $3.5M + GCC $8.5M. SOM is capacity-constrained, not demand-constrained. |
| Y1 Entry | $137K (৳15.04M) | Phase 1 BD domestic only · Day-0: Ariful Islam (Owner — A+ Borka House, Vulta, Gausia, Rupganj, Narayanganj) confirmed 2,000-unit verbal order. Formal written contract pending machine delivery — standard in BD boutique trade, where commitments are made verbally prior to production capability being established. · 0.17% SOM capture |
Formula: Effective Capacity = Theoretical Max × (1 − Downtime%) × (1 − Changeover%)
| COMPONENT | RATE | DERIVATION |
|---|---|---|
| Theoretical Max | 741.3M/mo | 4 machines × 6 heads × 1,100 SPM × 18hr × 26 days |
| (–) Thread Break Reserve | 5.5% | ~40 events/day × 4min avg ÷ 1,080 min/day |
| (–) Needle Change Reserve | 1.9% | ~8 events/day × 5min avg |
| (–) Pattern Changeover | 4.2% | 3 changeovers/day × 15min avg |
| (–) Maintenance & Unplanned | 4.4% | Weekly scheduled + quarterly deep service |
| Total Downtime | 16.0% | Combined operational efficiency loss |
| Effective Capacity | 622.7M/mo | 741.3M × 84.0% |
| Financial Model Target (87.4% of effective capacity · not 85%) | 544M/mo | 622.7M × 87.4% = 544M · Leaves 12.6% safety margin above financial model · Note: 85% refers to 85% of theoretical max (741.3M × 85% = 630M); the financial model conservatively uses 544M = 87.4% of effective capacity |
| PERIOD | EVENT | DEMAND INDEX | AURAQ IMPLICATION |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar–Apr | Eid-ul-Fitr | +35–45% | Orders placed Jan–Feb · M5 surge modeled (82% util) |
| May–Jun | Eid-ul-Adha | +20–28% | Second surge · orders locked M3–M4 |
| Oct–Dec | Wedding Season | +15–22% | Bridal couture / premium boutique surge |
| Jul–Sep | Off-Season | −10–15% | Price concession / GCC export fill strategy |
| Jan–Feb | Pre-Eid Build | Baseline | Pre-production stocking phase |
| METRIC | VALUE |
|---|---|
| Working Capital Buffer | ৳3,500,000 |
| Monthly Cash OPEX (ex-dep, incl. ৳29K insurance) | ৳497,000 |
| Zero-Revenue Survival | 7.0 Months |
| At 30% Revenue (M1 level) | ~13 Months |
| Worst-Case Stressed Survival | 4 Months (combined shock) |
| CAPABILITY METRIC | ✕ FRAGMENTED LOCAL FACTORY | ✦ INTEGRATED AURAQ ECOSYSTEM |
|---|---|---|
| Operational Speed | 650–800 SPM | Peak 1500 SPM | Flat 1100 SPM | Bead/Sequin 800–850 SPM |
| Bead/Sequin Application | Manual, Slow, High Defect Rate | Automated Multi-Head Programming |
| Precision Standard | High Variance (Human Error) | 0.1mm Mechanical Tolerance (Dahao A18 manufacturer-certified hardware spec) |
| Design IP Security | USB Drive Outsourcing (Theft Risk) | Zero-USB Encrypted Network Push (Dahao A18) |
🇯🇵 Japanese Quality Benchmarks — International-Grade Finishing
AURAQ sources internationally-recognised quality material brands via direct import channels:
| SPECIFICATION | AURAQ CNC PLATFORM VALUE | TECHNICAL SIGNIFICANCE |
|---|---|---|
| Machine Platform | Maya / Sinsim / Ricoma — 4 Units | Chinese Tier-1 OEM; \$17,500 USD/unit ex-factory |
| Controller System | Dahao A18 Control System (Licensed) | Industry-leading controller; cloud sync & encrypted IP push — zero USB dependency |
| Head Count | 6 Heads/Unit × 4 = 24 Total Heads | Simultaneous multi-head output; 24× throughput vs single-head units |
| Factory Location | Narayanganj Industrial Zone | Single site Phase 1 · Phase 2 expansion to 6,000 sq ft within same zone · strong local talent pool |
| Power Matrix | 30 KVA Online UPS + 32 kW Diesel Generator | Zero-ms UPS switch + generator backup; uninterrupted 18-hr dual-shift continuity |
| Stitch Precision | 0.1mm (Dahao A18 hardware-certified tolerance) | Eliminates rework on premium fabrics; reduces raw material wastage 15–20% |
Investor concern addressed: "What operational proof supports 85% peak utilization?" Below is the bottom-up derivation showing how 85% utilization is reached after deducting realistic downtime — not despite it.
| CAPACITY VARIABLE | VALUE | CALCULATION / SOURCE |
|---|---|---|
| Heads per Machine | 6 | Manufacturer spec — Maya/Sinsim 6-head unit |
| Average Operating SPM | 1,100 SPM | Blended across flat (1500), bead (850), sequin (800) work types |
| Stitches/Hour/Machine (theoretical) | 396,000 | 1,100 SPM × 60 min × 6 heads = 396,000/hr/machine |
| Operating Hours/Day | 18 hrs | 2-shift (6am–3pm + 3pm–12am) with 1hr handover & meal breaks deducted |
| Operating Days/Month | 26 days | 4 Sundays reserved for preventive maintenance (no production) |
| Theoretical Max/Machine/Month | 185.3M stitches | 396K × 18 × 26 = 185,328,000 stitches |
| Theoretical Max/4 Machines/Month | 741.3M stitches | 100% theoretical capacity (no downtime) |
| DOWNTIME CATEGORY | TIME LOSS % | ABSOLUTE LOSS/MO | OPERATIONAL CAUSE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thread changeover | 3.0% | 22.2M stitches | Color/material switch · ~2-4 min per changeover · ~8 changes/day |
| Thread breaks | 2.5% | 18.5M stitches | Single-head pause · Dahao A18 auto-detect · 2-8 min/event |
| Needle replacement | 1.0% | 7.4M stitches | Scheduled at 50K stitches/needle · titanium-coated |
| Bobbin refill | 2.0% | 14.8M stitches | Pre-wound bobbins · ~3-4 refills per shift per machine |
| Order changeover & setup | 3.5% | 25.9M stitches | Hooping, design load via A18 network, alignment, test stitch |
| QC inspection pause | 1.5% | 11.1M stitches | Mid-run sampling — preserves 0.5% defect threshold |
| Power switching events | 0.5% | 3.7M stitches | UPS/DG transitions · stabilization recovery |
| Operator break/handover | 1.0% | 7.4M stitches | Already partially netted in 18hr — residual buffer |
| Mechanical reserve buffer | 1.0% | 7.4M stitches | Unplanned events (motor heat, lubrication recoveries) |
| TOTAL DOWNTIME RESERVE | 16.0% | 118.6M stitches | Quantified mean downtime expectation |
| EFFECTIVE PRODUCTIVE CAPACITY (84%) | 84% | 622.7M stitches | Realistic max — bounds the 85% util target |
Theoretical max 741.3M stitches/mo × 0.85 utilization target = 630M stitches/mo (this is the "85% of theoretical" goal). However, after deducting 16% realistic downtime (thread break, maintenance windows, shift changeover), effective productive capacity = 622.7M. The financial model uses a conservative 544M stitches/mo which represents 87.4% of effective productive capacity (not 85%). ⚠ This distinction is important: "85% utilization" refers to 85% of theoretical max; the model conservatively operates at 87.4% of effective (= 73.4% of theoretical) — adding a meaningful safety buffer above the downtime-constrained floor. This is the operational proof. 📐 Waterfall util% base note: The monthly ramp-up table (Slide 18) expresses util% against a 640M operational base — defined as: peak model stitches (544M) ÷ 85% target = 640M. This 640M is the implicit capacity baseline that yields "85% utilization" when the model runs at 544M stitches. It is distinct from both theoretical max (741.3M) and effective capacity (622.7M). All three capacity concepts are defined here for clarity — 640M is the waterfall's internal reference base only.
⚡ Power Continuity Matrix — 32 kW Generator Architecture
Space Target (M18–M24):
6,000 sq ft (15–16 machines)
Power Upgrade:
200A + 50 KVA DG Backup
Rent Projection:
৳150K–৳200K / month
Site Selection:
Planned M12–M18 based on operational cash flow
📋 PHASE 2 CAPEX FUNDING WATERFALL — ~৳23M BDT (12 additional machines · M18–M30)
| Source | Available | Timeline | Condition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y2 EBITDA retained | ~৳3M | M13–M24 | Y1 revenue target met (৳15.04M+) |
| Y3 EBITDA retained | ~৳3.5M | M25–M36 | Phase 2 GCC ramp on track |
| SME Bank Loan | ৳15–20M | Y2 (M18+) | Audited Y1 financials + RJSC cert |
| SME Loan Interest Cost | −৳1.5M/yr | Y3–Y4 | 9–12% p.a. on ৳15M loan · already in sensitivity model |
| Total Phase 2 Fundable | ~৳21.5–26.5M | M18–M30 | Covers FOB machine cost (৳23M) ✓ · Gap to all-in (৳33–36M): ৳7–14M — see bridge below |
AURAQ received 5 official quotations from manufacturers across China and BD in April–May 2026. Full-spec (flat + dual-sequin + bead + cord) prices range from $15,050 EXW (DOIT, 4 units) to $28,000 FOB (Maya). The model's $17,500/unit sits 16% above the cheapest full-spec option — building in a procurement buffer. All quotations addressed to Auraq Apparels & Embellishment, Anik Islam Sunny, available in data room.
| SUPPLIER · DATE | MODEL / BRAND | FULL-SPEC UNIT PRICE | PRICE BASIS | DELIVERY | WARRANTY | PAYMENT | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOIT Group Ltd. Taizhou, Zhejiang · Apr 24, 2026 |
DT 1206F 6H · 12N |
$15,050/unit 4-unit order · EXW Taizhou |
EXW Taizhou |
Custom ~40 days |
1 Year Parts |
T/T 100% pre-ship |
LOWEST FULL-SPEC PRICE. Full cord/dual-sequin/bead included. Volume pricing: 1 unit $15,550 · 4 units $15,050 · 6 units $14,900. EXW Taizhou → add ~$350-500/unit inland+FOB → estimated $15,400–$15,550 FOB. CAPEX model $17,500 = 13.2% buffer above DOIT. |
| Alibaba Listing Zhejiang Manufacturer · Apr 2026 |
JLC/METE A8 6H · 15N |
$16,900/unit FOB · OLH Sequin incl. |
FOB | ~40 days | Standard | T/T | Double camshaft 3-link head · Japan Hirose 1.6 hook · Germany belt · 1500 RPM (real 1200 RPM) · OLH single pearl + 2 sequins per head included. FOB $16,900 = 3.5% below model $17,500. 15 needles (vs 12) = more color-change capability. |
| MAST Tech Intl. BD Distributor · RiCOMA (Huizhou) · Apr 27, 2026 · No.30/2026 |
MFC-061206 RiCOMA · Dahao D19 |
$31,400/unit (full-spec) Base $17,500 + Accessories $13,900 |
FOB Any China Port |
60 days after LC |
1 Year Parts |
100% LC irrevocable |
⚠ $17,500 is BASE MACHINE ONLY (flat only, no accessories). 4 colors sequin (+$4,500) + Cording & Tapping (+$3,600) + Color beads (+$4,800) = +$12,900 → Full-spec = $31,400. BD local distributor markup included. Origin: RiCOMA Huizhou. HS 8447.90.00 confirmed. Includes air compressor free. Local BD commissioning by MAST engineers. |
| BCD Machinery Nanjing · PI-2026-010 · Apr 21, 2026 |
BEM-612 Dahao A58 · 6H |
$23,500/unit FOB 4 units = $94,000 FOB |
FOB | 40 days after deposit |
2 Yr Dahao Board 2 Yr Servo Motor |
50% deposit +50% pre-ship |
PREMIUM OPTION — Dahao A58 (newer than A18). Full multi-function: double sequin (3–9mm) + bead (2.5–5mm) + cord in 1 process. CE certified. Layout: 4 machines need 20.4m × 2.7m = consistent with AURAQ floor plan. Remote 1hr support, 16hr online. 2yr warranty on electronics. $23,500 = 34% above model — not selected but validates $17,500 as highly conservative. |
| Zhuji Maya Zhejiang · Invoice 22MYBD2204A · Apr 22, 2026 |
FH-1206 6H · 12N |
$28,000/unit CFR Chittagong (incl. freight) |
CFR Chittagong |
90 days after LC |
1 Year Conditional |
LC at sight | 2-color sequin + 4-color beads + cording included. NINGBO→Chittagong. 90-day lead time = longest of all options. CFR price includes freight so not directly comparable; strip freight (~$1,250/unit) → ~$26,750 FOB equivalent. 60% above model price — not competitive for AURAQ's Phase 1. |
| ✦ MODEL CAPEX ASSUMPTION (Selected) | $17,500/unit FOB | Conservative mid-point. $17,500 is 13.2% above cheapest full-spec quote (DOIT $15,050 EXW → ~$15,500 FOB) and 3.5% above Alibaba listing ($16,900 FOB). 4 units = $70,000 FOB → ৳7.7M at ৳110/USD. Phase 2 (12 units): DOIT volume pricing $14,900/unit → saves ~$30,720 vs model → partial Phase 2 gap reduction. CAPEX assumption is independently validated and conservative. | |||||
| CAPEX LINE | MODEL | QUOTATION BASIS |
|---|---|---|
| Machine FOB (4 units) | ৳7,700,000 | $17,500 × 4 × ৳110. DOIT 4-unit: $15,050 EXW → FOB ~$62,200 (৳6.84M). Buffer = ৳860K. |
| Ocean Freight + Insurance | ৳420,000 | Maya quoted $2,500 for 40ft container (2 machines). 4 machines = 1×40HC → ~$2,800–$3,200. ৳420K ≈ $3,800 = slight buffer. |
| NBR Custom Duty (31%) | ৳2,517,200 | HS 8447.90.00 per MAST Tech quotation. 31% cumulative on CIF. Subject to NBR assessment at import. |
| BCD Floor Load | N/A in model | BCD PI: 400 kg/m² floor loading. 4 machines = 7,200 kg total — within reinforced slab capacity. |
| Total Phase 1 CAPEX | ৳18,000,000 | Conservative vs. actual quote range. Cheapest viable build: ~৳15.8M (DOIT + actual freight). Buffer: ৳2.2M. |
DOIT 6-unit pricing = $14,900/unit EXW. Phase 2 order of 12 units → negotiate 2× 6-unit batches = $14,900/unit → saves ~$2,600/unit vs. model's $17,500. 12-unit saving: ~$31,200 (৳3.4M) — directly reduces Phase 2 funding gap from ৳7–14M by ৳3.4M (Path A advantage).
| CRITERION | DOIT (Recommended) | BCD (Premium Alt.) | MAST Tech (Local BD) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-Spec Unit Price | $15,050 EXW (4 units) | $23,500 FOB | $31,400 FOB (incl. accessories) |
| Controller System | Standard Dahao | Dahao A58 (superior) | Dahao D19 |
| Warranty (Electronics) | 1 Year | 2 Years (board + servo) | 1 Year (parts only) |
| Lead Time | Custom ~40 days | 40 days after deposit | 60 days after LC |
| Payment Flexibility | T/T 100% pre-ship | 50% deposit + 50% pre-ship | 100% LC (rigid) |
| Local BD Support | Remote only | Remote only | Local engineers |
| BD Market References | N/A | N/A | SINSIM: 100+ BD clients incl. Youngone (500 machines), Beximco, Pakiza |
Phase 1 (4 machines): DOIT Group at $15,050 EXW (4-unit price) = ~$62,200 FOB → ৳6.84M FOB. Saves ৳860K vs. model → adds to working capital buffer. Payment: T/T with LC fallback for investor comfort.
Phase 2 (12 machines): Negotiate DOIT 6-unit batch × 2 at $14,900/unit = $14,900 × 12 = $178,800 → ৳19.67M. Reduces Phase 2 capex requirement by ৳3.4M — meaningful gap reduction.
Alternative consideration: BCD's Dahao A58 controller (2-year warranty, CE certified, superior spec) at $23,500 FOB is worth evaluating for Phase 2 if GCC premium client requires certified machinery.
| CAPITAL EXPENDITURE CATEGORY | AMOUNT (BDT) | % CAPEX | STRATEGIC NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machine Cost (4 × 6H CNC @ \$17,500 USD/unit) | 7,700,000 | 42.8% | 4 × \$17,500 = \$70,000 USD × ~৳110/USD = ৳7.7M BDT |
| Ocean Freight + Insurance (FOB Guangzhou → Chittagong CIF) | 420,000 | 2.3% | Sea freight estimate + cargo insurance premium. CIF Total = ৳8,120,000 |
| Custom Duty (31% cumulative on CIF value ৳8,120,000) | 2,517,200 | 14.0% | 31% × ৳8,120,000 = ৳2,517,200 |
| Port Handling + Forwarding + Transport to Factory | 362,800 | 2.0% | Port handling, C&F agent fees, customs docs, inland transport |
| 2 Industrial Sewing Machines (Sampling & Validation) | 150,000 | 0.8% | Industrial-grade sewing units for pre-production sampling |
| MACHINERY + IMPORT SUBTOTAL | 11,000,000 | 61.2% | ⚠ USD-denominated. 5% USD/BDT spike = +৳550K overrun. |
| Infrastructure (30 KVA UPS + 32 kW Generator, HVAC, Compressor, Acoustic, Electrical, Rent Adv) | 1,800,000 | 10.0% | Included in depreciable base. 380V 3-Phase, 30 KVA UPS, 32 kW Diesel Generator, refrigerated air dryer, Rockwool soundproofing |
| Facility Setup (Furniture, Dahao A18 Software, IT, Security) | 1,000,000 | 5.6% | Included in depreciable base. Dahao A18 IP system license, ERP setup, surveillance, workstations |
| Contingency Reserve / Pre-Launch Marketing | 700,000 | 3.9% | Pre-production marketing, sample production, client acquisition activities, legal/registration fees |
| Working Capital Buffer [Current Asset — includes ৳700K raw materials starter stock] | 3,500,000 | 19.4% | Covers payroll (incl. Fashion Designer), rent, electricity, diesel fuel, raw materials (৳700K starter stock sub-component within this ৳3.5M — not a separate CAPEX line), and operations through Month 3+ pre-revenue ramp. Verification: ৳11M machinery + ৳1.8M infra + ৳1M setup + ৳700K contingency = ৳14.5M fixed CAPEX + ৳3.5M WC (incl. ৳700K raw materials starter stock) = ৳18.0M total. ✓ |
| TOTAL INVESTMENT (CAPEX + WC) | 18,000,000 | 100% | Fixed CAPEX = ৳14.5M (machinery ৳11M + infrastructure ৳1.8M + setup ৳1M + contingency ৳700K) | Working Capital = ৳3.5M (cash ops buffer ৳2.8M + raw materials ৳700K) | ৳14.5M + ৳3.5M = ৳18.0M | Depreciable base: ৳13.8M (৳700K contingency expensed in Y1 as pre-revenue cost, not capitalised). 5-Year Straight-Line, 10% salvage: ৳13.8M × 90% = ৳12,420,000 ÷ 5yr = Annual Dep ৳2,484,000 | Monthly = ৳207,000. |
| PROCUREMENT VECTOR | CONFIRMED SPECIFICATION |
|---|---|
| Hardware Platform | Maya / Sinsim / Ricoma CNC Embroidery Platform — best unit from RFQ across all three manufacturers |
| Sourcing Origin | Guangzhou, China (Direct Ex-Factory) |
| Unit Count | 4 Units (6-Head CNC per unit | 24 Heads Total) |
| Unit Price | \$17,500 USD per unit ex-factory | Total \$70,000 USD (≈৳7.7M BDT) |
| CIF Value (Machine + Freight) | ৳8,120,000 BDT (৳7,700,000 + ৳420,000 freight/insurance) |
| Import Duty | 31% cumulative = ৳2,517,200 BDT |
| Landed Cost (4 Units) | ৳11,000,000 BDT incl. 31% Duty, Freight, Insurance, Port & Transport |
| Controller | Dahao A18 Control System (Licensed) |
| Warranty SLA | 12-Month Base Warranty on critical electronics and motors |
| Est. Lead Time | 25–35 Days via Ocean Freight (Chittagong Port) |
| STEP | STAGE | TIMELINE | DESCRIPTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Supplier Selection | Week 1 | RFQ finalization with Maya/Sinsim/Ricoma factory; quotation at \$17,500 USD/unit |
| 02 | L/C Opening | Week 1–2 | Letter of Credit issued via local bank; USD lock-in to mitigate exchange rate exposure |
| 03 | FOB Shipment | Day 7–10 | Factory ships via ocean freight; FOB terms Guangzhou Port; container inspection at origin |
| 04 | Port Arrival | Day 25–35 | Chittagong Port arrival; documentation lodged with C&F agent |
| 05 | Custom Duty Payment | Day 35–42 | 31% cumulative customs duty = ৳2,517,200; VAT settlement; port clearance |
| 06 | Factory Transport | Day 42–45 | Inland transport Chittagong → Narayanganj factory |
| 07 | Installation & Calibration | Day 45–50 | Machine placement, 380V line connection, Dahao A18 controller activation, UPS & Generator integration |
| 08 | Trial Production | Day 50–55 | Quality test runs on all 24 heads; precision verification at 0.1mm tolerance |
* Total deployment timeline: ~55 days from L/C opening to first commercial production run.
| ROLE | COUNT | UNIT SALARY | MONTHLY TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Founder & CEO (Anik Islam Sunny) | 1 | Sweat Equity (M1–M6) → ৳35,000/mo from M7 (benchmark: BD SME CEO comp ৳30K–৳45K; set at midpoint pending investor confirmation in SHA) → reviewed at Y2 profitability milestone (cap ৳60,000/mo through Y3 exit) | ৳0 (M1–M6) · ৳35,000 (M7+, cap ৳60K) |
| Chief Engineer (Omar Faruque Tuhin) | 1 | ৳27,500 | ৳27,500 |
| Punching Master (Dahao A18 Lead) | 1 | ৳24,500 | ৳24,500 |
| Fashion Designer & Design Analyst | 1 | ৳23,500 | ৳23,500 |
| Senior Machine Operators (CNC × 6-Head) | 2 | ৳18,000 | ৳36,000 |
| Junior Machine Operators | 2 | ৳14,000 | ৳28,000 |
| Helpers / Apprentices | 2 | ৳9,000 | ৳18,000 |
| QA / QC Inspector | 1 | ৳15,000 | ৳15,000 |
| Sewing Machine Operators | 2 | ৳12,000 | ৳24,000 |
| Packing & Dispatch | 1 | ৳9,500 | ৳9,500 |
| Accounts & Admin | 1 | ৳13,000 | ৳13,000 |
| Security / Night Guard | 1 | ৳10,000 | ৳10,000 |
| Content Creator & Social Media Manager (Video · Editing · Brand) ⚡ Recommended: Onboard M3+ (post first revenue) | 1 | ৳25,500 | ৳25,500 |
| TOTAL PAYROLL | 17 | — | ৳254,500 / mo |
In-house design strategist responsible for trend analysis, custom B2B design portfolios, GCC export collection planning, and pre-production design validation. Critical for Tier 2 & Tier 3 upsell — converts standard ৳2.80/1K orders into ৳3.20–৳6.80/1K premium engagements via design consultation. Cost: ৳23,500/mo · Direct ROI: 1–2 incremental Tier 2 conversions per month = ~৳50K+ EBIT uplift.
AURAQ begins as a B2B precision embroidery house — but the long-term vision is an own-brand D2C product line (Phase 3, Year 3+). Brand equity takes 2–3 years to build. The Content Creator role is the infrastructure investment for that future: building AURAQ's social media presence, audience familiarity, and brand credibility early — so that when AURAQ Signature launches, it enters a market where the brand is already known, trusted, and contextually positioned. Recommended onboarding: M3 (post first revenue confirmation) — saves ৳51,000 in Q1 cash, strengthens WC buffer by 2 payroll cycles, and aligns content production with actual factory footage. ৳25,500/mo from M3 = 2–3 years brand equity runway built cost-efficiently.
| OPEX CATEGORY | AMOUNT |
|---|---|
| Total Payroll (16 staff M1–M6 · founder = sweat equity ৳0 · from M7: 17 staff ৳289,500) | ৳254,500 |
| Factory Rent (2,000 sq ft) | ৳45,000 |
| Electricity (Grid + Generator) | ৳70,000 |
| Diesel Fuel (32 kW Generator) | ৳35,000 |
| Depreciation (5-yr SL) | ৳207,000 |
| Maintenance Reserve | ৳25,000 |
| Admin / Accounting / IT | ৳18,000 |
| Internet / Communications | ৳5,500 |
| Logistics / Delivery | ৳15,000 |
| TOTAL PEAK OPEX ★ Includes dep. ৳207K; excl. insurance ৳29K (sep. line). Cash OPEX ex-dep = ৳468K; with insurance = ৳497K. See Slide 20 table. | ৳675,000 |
Auraq enters Day 1 with a pre-verified, operationally-validated demand pipeline exceeding ৳252,000/month. The Dubai Borka House confirmed order is operational, not exploratory — backed by sample delivery, active communication trail, and trial-order commitment.
| CLIENT VERTICAL | STATUS | MONTHLY VOL. | REVENUE | 1 STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai Borka House (Anchor Export) | ✓ Confirmed Order + Sample Delivered | 30M stitches | ৳84,000 | ✓ Active M1 Intro Tier 1 rate; Tier 3 (৳6.50/1K) pre-negotiated for Phase 2 scale-up |
| Premium Dhaka Boutique #1 | In Negotiation | 20M stitches | ৳56,000 | Trial M2–M3 |
| Premium Dhaka Boutique #2 | In Negotiation | 15M stitches | ৳42,000 | Trial M2–M3 |
| Mid-Tier RMG Sub-Contractor | Sample Approved | 15M stitches | ৳42,000 | Contract M3–M4 |
| Bridal Couture Atelier | Sample Pending | 10M stitches | ৳28,000 | Active M4+ |
| DAY-0 BASELINE (Full) | 5 Verified Verticals | 90M stitches | ৳252,000/mo | M3–M4 Full |
| 1 REALISTIC | Dubai + 1–2 trials | ~52–59M stitches | ৳144K–৳165K |
▸ Evidence Tier: Not purely verbal — backed by: (1) physical sample delivery, (2) documented communication trail, (3) pricing pre-negotiated. BD boutique trade standard: written contracts follow machine delivery, not precede it. Investor to verify WhatsApp archive + sample delivery proof in data room.
▸ Sample Delivered: Trial batch (8M stitches, 4 designs) physically delivered to Dubai showroom — client received, inspected, and approved quality.
▸ Communication Trail: Active WhatsApp/email archive since Aug 2025 — timestamps verifiable. Available in investor data room under NDA.
▸ Order Commitment: 30M stitches/mo · ৳84K/mo at Tier 1 entry rate · advance payment terms pre-agreed (eliminates credit risk).
▸ Phase 2 Scale Pre-Agreed: Tier 3 Export rate (৳6.50–৳6.80/1K) verbally committed for scale-up — in writing upon Phase 2 activation.
Note: Formal written contract to be executed post-RJSC registration + machine delivery (standard BD trade sequence). Investor condition precedent: written offtake agreement to be signed before Tranche 2 release (within M2).
| Research Method | Sample | Key Finding |
|---|---|---|
| B2B Buyer Interviews | 12 boutiques | 92% dissatisfied with current embroidery turnaround (14–21 days). 75% willing to pay 5–10% premium for 7-day SLA. |
| GCC Retailer Survey | 8 buyers | 100% sourcing from China/UAE at 90-day lead time. All interested in BD supplier at 30-day equivalent if quality meets standard. |
| Competitor Sampling | 6 vendors | Manual embroidery: 35–40% defect rate above 10M stitches. AURAQ CNC target: <0.5% defect rate — validated by Dahao spec. |
| Price Sensitivity Test | 15 buyers | ৳2.50–৳3.20/1K accepted by 11/15 buyers (73%). AURAQ Day-1 pricing ৳2.80/1K sits at median — validated. |
| BD Import Data (NBR) | 2020–2024 | HS5810 BD imports: $28–34M/yr from China+UAE. Growing 12% CAGR. AURAQ targets 3–4% displacement = $1M+ addressable. |
Scenario: Dubai Borka House exits at M6
Revenue impact: ৳84K/mo (33% loss)
Replacement timeline: 4–6 weeks (2 Dhaka boutiques in pipeline at same volume)
Cash runway impact: Runway extends from 7.0 to 5.5 months (still safe) — within contingency buffer
SHA trigger: Investor notified within 7 days. Joint review within 14 days.
Primary research across 41 buyers confirms: price validated (৳2.80/1K at median), quality gap confirmed (<0.5% vs 35–40% manual defect), and demand urgency verified (7-day SLA premium). Confirmed order from Dubai Borka House is operational with advance payment clause — eliminating credit risk. HS5810 BD import data ($28–34M/yr growing 12% CAGR) confirms displacement opportunity. Concentration risk managed by 5-vertical pipeline and SHA client loss protocol.
| BUYER / ENTITY | GEOGRAPHY | STATUS | VOLUME POTENTIAL | REVENUE | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai Borka House Anchor Export Buyer |
UAE · Dubai | ✓ CONFIRMED ORDER | 30M stitches/mo | ৳84K–৳195K/mo Tier 1 → Tier 3 ramp |
Sample delivered. Trial order on machine delivery. Scale to Tier 3 (৳6.50/1K) pre-negotiated for Phase 2 volume. Buyer handles destination customs — AURAQ has no UAE import exposure. |
| KSA Premium Abaya Retailer Boutique chain · KSA |
KSA | SAMPLE SENT | 20–40M stitches/mo | ৳130K–৳260K/mo | 4 DST designs submitted. Feedback pending. Initial contact via Dubai Borka House referral network. ESMA certification not required for embroidery-only supply to local retailer. |
| Qatar Retail & Wholesale Partner Retail + wholesale · Qatar |
Qatar | IN DISCUSSION | 15–25M stitches/mo | ৳98K–৳163K/mo | Initial contact via founder's GCC trade network. Requesting sample programme post-machine installation. Hajj/Eid seasonal surge buyer — high-value seasonal contract potential. |
| UAE Wholesale Distributor Mainland UAE distributor |
UAE | PROSPECT | 25–35M stitches/mo | ৳163K–৳228K/mo | Identified via BGMEA GCC trade mission contacts. Outreach initiated. Distributor model — single contract supplies 12–15 downstream retailers. High-volume potential if converted. |
| PHASE 2 GCC PIPELINE TOTAL | 1 Confirmed + 3 Active | 90–130M stitches/mo | ৳470K–৳840K/mo at full Phase 2 ramp |
Conservative Phase 2 model uses only Dubai Borka House confirmed order + 1 converted prospect. Remaining 2 buyers = upside optionality — not in base case. | |
| Month | Event | GCC Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| M13–M15 | Dubai Borka House full-scale order | ৳195K/mo |
| M16–M18 | 1 prospect converted (KSA or Qatar) | +৳130–163K/mo |
| Y2 GCC Total | 2 buyers active | ৳2.4M |
| Month | Event | GCC Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| M13 | Dubai Borka House full scale | ৳195K/mo |
| M15 | KSA + Qatar both convert | +৳260–423K/mo |
| Y2 GCC Total | 3+ buyers active | ৳4.1M+ |
Conservative financial model uses Dubai Borka House confirmed order + 1 additional GCC prospect for Y2 projections — making base case achievable with a single buyer conversion. Additional 2 prospects (KSA, UAE) are pure upside. All GCC buyers operate under a 40% single-buyer revenue cap from M18. Founder actively building GCC referral network via Dubai Borka House relationship and BGMEA trade channels.
Auraq enforces a 25% single-client revenue concentration cap from Month 4 onward — explicit risk mitigation against client dependency. Revenue is diversified across 4 client verticals from Day 1.
| CLIENT VERTICAL | REV SHARE | PRICING TIER |
|---|---|---|
| Export Garment Manufacturers (RMG) | 50% | Tier 1: ৳2.80/1K |
| Premium Boutiques (Dhaka/Chittagong) | 25% | Tier 2: ৳3.20/1K |
| D2C / Online Modest Fashion Brands | 15% | Tier 1–2 mix |
| Bridal Couture / Custom Atelier | 10% | Tier 2: ৳3.20/1K |
| TOTAL DIVERSIFIED MIX | 100% | Blended ৳2.80–৳3.05 |
From M13+, GCC export channel scales to 35–40% of revenue at ৳6.50–৳6.80/1K (Tier 3 Export rate). Blended Y2 rate rises to ৳3.80–৳4.20/1K.
Investor diligence: "What is the basis of your 12% conversion assumption?" Industrial B2B cold conversion = 3–7%. Auraq's 12% is achievable because lead source is predominantly warm, not cold. Below is the lead-source mix proof.
| LEAD SOURCE | % OF LEADS | TYPE | CONV. RATE | BASIS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Founder Anik's production showcase (M3+) | 35% | WARM (facility) | 18–22% | Operational factory visits, sample runs, word-of-mouth from live production |
| Founder Anik's direct B2B network | 25% | WARM (intro) | 15–18% | Pre-launch outreach · existing buyer rolodex |
| Existing client referrals (M3+) | 15% | WARM (organic) | 20% | Word-of-mouth from happy B2B clients |
| LinkedIn outreach (cold) | 15% | COLD | 5–7% | Industry-standard cold B2B benchmark |
| Content marketing inbound | 10% | WARM (inbound) | 12–14% | TikTok/Reels by Content Writer drives discovery |
| WEIGHTED AVERAGE | 100% | 75% WARM | ~12.0% | Mathematically derived from source mix |
| STAGE | NAME | VOLUME / MO | CONV. % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Lead Generation | 50 | — |
| 02 | Qualified Prospects | 40 | 80% |
| 03 | Sample Production | 30 | 75% |
| 04 | Trial Paid Order | 12 | 40% |
| 05 | Contract Signed | 6 | 50% |
| 06 | Repeat Order | 4 | 67% |
| 07 | Reference Sale | 2 | 50% |
| END-TO-END CONVERSION | 6/50 | 12.0% | |
At 85% of theoretical-max utilization (= 544M stitches/mo · Month 6+ steady-state), Auraq delivers ৳381,288 monthly EBIT on ৳1,523,200 revenue — a 25.0% EBIT margin after full payroll (17 staff including Fashion Designer + Content Creator), depreciation, insurance, and operational overhead. [Note: "85% utilization" = 85% × 741.3M theoretical max = 630M target; financial model uses conservative 544M = 73.4% of theoretical / 87.4% of post-downtime effective capacity. See Slide 07 for full derivation.] Electricity/diesel are direct COGS — Cash OPEX = Payroll ৳254.5K + Rent ৳45K + Admin ৳38.5K = ৳338K. EBIT ৳381,288 (25.0%).
| P&L LINE ITEM | PEAK MONTHLY (৳) | % OF REVENUE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (544M stitches × ৳2.80/1K) | 1,523,200 | 100.0% |
| (–) Direct Variable COGS (544M × ৳0.998/1K) | (543,472) | (35.7%) |
| = Gross Profit | 979,728 | 64.3% |
| (–) Depreciation (5-yr SL, monthly) | (207,000) | (13.6%) |
| (–) Maintenance Reserve (Accrual) | (25,000) | (1.6%) |
| = Contrib. Margin (Pre-OPEX) | 747,728 | 49.1% |
| (–) Total Cash OPEX (Payroll ৳254.5K + Rent ৳45K + Admin/Comms/Logistics ৳38.5K) | (338,000) | (22.2%) |
| (–) Insurance Premium (Sadharan Bima + Pragati · ৳350K–৳420K/yr) | (29,000) | (1.9%) |
| = EBIT (Operating Profit) | 381,288 | 25.0% |
| + Depreciation (added back for EBITDA) | +207,000 | 13.6% |
| = EBITDA | 588,288 | 38.6% |
| Tier | Rate/1K | COGS/1K | Gross Margin | OPEX Alloc/1K | EBIT/1K | EBIT % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 (Boutique) | ৳2.80 | (৳0.998) | ৳1.802 · 64.4% | (৳1.10) | ৳0.702 | 25.1% |
| Tier 2 (RMG/Bridal) | ৳3.20–৳4.20 | (৳0.998) | ৳2.20–৳3.20 · 69–76% | (৳1.10) | ৳1.10–৳2.10 | 34–50% |
| Tier 3 (GCC Export) | ৳6.50 | (৳0.998) | ৳5.502 · 84.6% | (৳1.10) | ৳4.402 | 67.7% |
| D2C Own-Brand AURAQ Signature · Age 10–60 · Modest fashion revolution · BD's most premium homegrown label | ৳4.50–৳5.50 | (৳0.998) | ৳3.50–৳4.50 · 78–82% | (৳1.10) | ৳2.40–৳3.40 | 53–62% |
OPEX alloc/1K = ৳675,000 ÷ 520M avg stitches = ৳1.30/1K. Fixed cost base does NOT increase with tier mix shift → GCC and D2C orders deliver 4–6× the EBIT of Tier 1 on identical machine time. Mix shift from Tier 1→Tier 3 is the primary EBIT margin lever in Y3–Y4.
| Utilization | Monthly EBIT | EBIT Margin | Key Milestone |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30% (M1) | (৳73K) | -14% | Commissioning phase · EBITDA already +৳134K (M1 cash-positive · utility in COGS only) |
| 52% (EBIT BE) | ৳0 | 0% | Steady-state EBIT BE: 332M ÷ 640M = 52%. [640M = operational capacity base defined as: peak model stitches (544M) ÷ 85% utilization target = 640M. This is the implicit baseline from which util% is expressed in this waterfall; not the same as theoretical max (741.3M) or effective capacity (622.7M). See Slide 07 footnote.] EBITDA+ from M1 · In volatility scenario: EBIT+ at M3 (52% util). Base quarterly model: EBIT+ at M4 |
| 62% (M4) | ৳116K | 10.4% | Well above EBIT break-even · M3 was already ৳24K EBIT positive |
| 85% (Peak) | ৳381K | 25.0% | Steady-state · M6 onwards · 544M stitches · EBITDA ৳588K (38.6%) |
| 85% + Tier 3 mix | ৳785K+ | 40%+ | Y3 GCC mix shift · same machines · 6.3× EBIT/stitch vs Tier 1 |
Auraq's ৳0.998 direct variable COGS per 1,000 stitches is built from a granular bottom-up cost tree validated against supplier quotations. Every input is sourced and quantified — no aggregated estimates.
| COGS COMPONENT | ৳/1K | % COGS | SOURCING / RATIONALE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thread (Polyester/Rayon) | ৳0.180 | 18.0% | FUJIX/Olympus 5000m cones · ~1,944K stitches/cone |
| Beads / Sequins | ৳0.210 | 21.0% | Miyuki/TOHO · 30% designs use beadwork weighted |
| Backing Fabric / Stabilizer | ৳0.060 | 6.0% | Tear-away/cut-away · ৳60/yard · industry standard |
| Needles (Wear) | ৳0.030 | 3.0% | Titanium-coated · 50K stitches/needle · ৳150/needle |
| Bobbin Thread | ৳0.040 | 4.0% | Pre-wound bobbins · 30M stitches/case |
| Direct Operator Labor | ৳0.180 | 18.0% | Allocated payroll over 544M peak stitches |
| Electricity (Grid) | ৳0.129 | 12.9% | ৳70K/mo grid ÷ 544M × 1,000 = ৳0.129 (verified against OPEX electricity line) |
| Diesel Fuel (Generator) | ৳0.064 | 6.4% | ৳35K/mo diesel ÷ 544M × 1,000 = ৳0.064 |
| Allocated Overhead | ৳0.105 | 10.5% | Per-unit allocation of non-utility, non-labor monthly OPEX excl. dep. (direct variable cost of machine operation per stitch) |
| TOTAL COGS | ৳0.998 | 100.0% | 35.7% of ৳2.80 = 64.3% Gross Margin · 0.180+0.210+0.060+0.030+0.040+0.180+0.129+0.064+0.105 = ৳0.998 |
COGS at ৳0.998/1K explicitly includes: Direct Operator Labour (৳0.180/1K · 18.0% of COGS) + Electricity/Grid (৳0.129/1K) + Diesel (৳0.064/1K) + all material inputs. Gross Margin = Revenue − (Materials + Direct Labour + Direct Energy). Contribution Margin (pre-OPEX) is separately stated at 49.1% (Slide 16), after deducting depreciation and maintenance reserve from Gross Profit. The 64.3% figure is correctly classified as Gross Margin under standard manufacturing accounting.
Investor concern: "Why is your ramp so smooth?" The smoothed trajectory is the average; reality includes order volatility, client onboarding lumps, and seasonal shocks. Below shows the realistic utilization band including slow-month (M2 dip) and surge-month (M5 surge) volatility.
| MONTH | UTIL % base = 640M (= 544M÷85%) See Slide 07 | STITCHES (M) | REVENUE | VARIABLE COGS (৳0.998/1K) | GP | OPEX (incl. ৳29K ins.) | EBIT VOLATILITY MODEL (not base quarterly) | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-M1 (SLA Bridge) | Trading only no own machines | — | ~৳150,000–৳300,000 | (COGS = subcontractor cost; margin ~15–25%) | ৳30K–৳60K est. | (payroll only; no rent/machine cost) | ~৳20K–৳50K | M1–M3.5 SLA system: AURAQ takes orders from boutique clients → sub-contracts to 3rd-party manufacturers → earns ~15–25% coordination margin. Revenue not included in Y1 ARR (treated as pre-production bridge income). Builds client pipeline + generates early cash flow. |
| M1 | 30% eff. | ~192M | 537,600 | (191,616) | 345,984 | (419,000) | (73,016) | Commissioning losses · electricity/diesel in COGS |
| M2 (slow) | 30–32% | 205M | 573,400 | (204,590) | 368,810 | (464,000) | (95,190) | L/C delay · network warming |
| M3 (EBIT+) | 52% | 333M | 931,200 | (332,334) | 598,866 | (574,500) | 24,366 | First EBIT-positive month (volatility model, 52% util) · EBITDA ৳231K |
| M4 | 62% | 397M | 1,111,600 | (396,406) | 715,194 | (599,000) | 116,194 | Solidly EBIT-positive · 10.5% margin |
| M5 (surge) | 82% | 525M | 1,470,000 | (524,550) | 945,450 | (572,000) | 373,450 | Eid order surge · 25.4% margin |
| M6 (Peak) | 85% | 544M | 1,523,200 | (543,472) | 979,728 | (599,000) | 381,288 | Steady state · EBITDA ৳588,288 (38.6%) |
| M7 | 78% | 500M | 1,400,000 | (499,000) | 901,000 | (634,000) | 267,000 | Post-Eid dip · Founder salary ৳35K activates M7 · OPEX=৳599K+৳35K salary=৳634K |
| M8 | 83% | 531M | 1,486,800 | (529,938) | 956,862 | (634,000) | 322,862 | Recovery · 21.7% EBIT margin |
| P&L LINE | Q1 (M1–M3) | Q2 (M4–M6) | Q3 (M7–M9) | Q4 (M10–M12) | YEAR 1 TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,096,000 | 4,104,800 | 4,432,800 | 4,409,600 | 15,043,200 |
| (–) Variable COGS (35.64% · ৳0.998/1K stitches · 64.36% GM) | (747,074) | (1,463,068) | (1,579,977) | (1,571,707) | (5,361,826) |
| Gross Profit (64.36%) | 1,348,926 | 2,641,732 | 2,852,823 | 2,837,893 | 9,681,374 |
| (–) Total OPEX | (1,610,000) | (1,938,000) | (2,025,000) | (1,725,000) | (7,298,000) |
| EBIT | (261,074) | 703,732 | 827,823 | 1,112,893 | 2,383,374 |
| (–) Royalty [5% Gross Revenue · Grace M1–M8 · M9 only in Q3 · Full Q4] | — | — | (73,880) | (220,480) | (294,360) |
| NET (After Royalty) | (261,074) | 703,732 | 753,943 | 892,413 | 2,089,014 |
| + Depreciation Add-Back | +621,000 | +621,000 | +621,000 | +621,000 | +2,484,000 |
| Y1 EBITDA | 359,926 | 1,324,732 | 1,448,823 | 1,733,893 | 4,867,374 |
COGS methodology: Electricity/diesel (৳0.193/1K) classified as direct COGS only. OPEX = cash operating costs only (Payroll + Rent + Admin). GM = 64.36% throughout. COGS rate = exact 35.64% (৳0.998÷৳2.80).
| METRIC | M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Util % | 30% | 32% | 52% | 62% | 82% | 85% |
| Revenue | 537,600 | 573,400 | 931,200 | 1,111,600 | 1,470,000 | 1,523,200 |
| (–) Variable COGS ৳0.998/1K · 35.64% · 64.36% GM | (191,616) | (204,376) | (331,906) | (396,206) | (523,950) | (542,912) |
| Gross Profit (64.36%) | 345,984 | 369,024 | 599,294 | 715,394 | 946,050 | 980,288 |
| (–) Payroll | (204,000) | (220,000) | (240,000) | (254,500) | (254,500) | (254,500) |
| (–) Rent [electricity & diesel classified as direct COGS] | (45,000) | (45,000) | (45,000) | (45,000) | (45,000) | (45,000) |
| (–) Other OPEX | (38,500) | (38,500) | (38,500) | (38,500) | (38,500) | (38,500) |
| (–) Insurance | (29,000) | (29,000) | (29,000) | (29,000) | (29,000) | (29,000) |
| (–) Maintenance Reserve | (25,000) | (25,000) | (25,000) | (25,000) | (25,000) | (25,000) |
| EBITDA (Cash Profit) | 4,484 | 11,524 | 221,794 | 323,394 | 554,050 | 588,288 |
| (–) Depreciation | (207,000) | (207,000) | (207,000) | (207,000) | (207,000) | (207,000) |
| EBIT | (202,516) | (195,476) | 14,794 | 116,394 | 347,050 | 381,288 |
| WC Drawdown (Cum.) | 30,484 | (11,368) | 114,998 | 333,192 | 781,642 | 1,264,370 |
| Quarter | Revenue | Gross Profit 64.3% blended (conservative — GCC real GM = 84.6% at ৳6.50/1K; blending understates GCC contribution) | OPEX Cash only (excl. dep) — Slide 21 uses cash+dep in some rows; see reconciliation note below | EBITDA | Dep. | EBIT | SME Interest | Royalty (5%) | Net Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y2 Q1 | ৳4,512K | ৳2,901K | (৳2,016K) | ৳885K | (৳621K) | ৳264K | — | (৳226K) | ৳38K |
| Y2 Q2 (GCC ramp) | ৳5,712K | ৳3,673K | (৳2,016K) | ৳1,657K | (৳621K) | ৳1,036K | — | (৳286K) | ৳750K |
| Y2 Q3 | ৳4,912K | ৳3,158K | (৳2,016K) | ৳1,142K | (৳621K) | ৳521K | — | (৳246K) | ৳275K |
| Y2 Q4 (Eid) | ৳5,916K | ৳3,804K | (৳2,016K) | ৳1,788K | (৳621K) | ৳1,167K | — | (৳296K) | ৳871K |
| Y2 TOTAL [⚠ Model B basis — DEPRECATED. Canonical Y2: Model A ৳20.45M (conservative) or Model C ৳22.85M (target). See guidance note below.] | ৳21,052K | ৳13,536K | (৳8,064K) | ৳5,472K | (৳2,484K) | ৳2,988K | — | (৳1,053K) | ৳1,935K |
| Y3 TOTAL | ৳35,260K | ৳22,672K | (৳8,400K) | ৳14,272K | (৳2,484K) | ৳11,788K | (৳1,500K) 10%×৳15M | (৳1,763K) | ৳8,525K |
| Y4 TOTAL (exit yr) ⚠ ৳60M = +70.1% vs Y3 ৳35.26M. Basis: 16 machines × ~৳3.75M/machine/yr at ~82% Phase 2 utilization. BD segment: ~৳35M · GCC: ~৳25M. Y4 quarterly bridge by BD/GCC/Tier available on request. | ৳60,000K | ৳38,580K | (৳9,200K) | ৳29,380K | (৳2,484K) | ৳26,896K | (৳1,500K) 10%×৳15M | (৳3,000K) | ৳22,396K |
Y2 OPEX includes Phase 2 rent ramp (৳150K→৳200K/mo from Q3). Y3/Y4 OPEX includes Phase 2 payroll expansion (+8 staff). ⚠ OPEX DEFINITION NOTE: This bridge OPEX = cash operating costs only (excludes depreciation ৳2,484K/yr — dep shown separately). Slide 21 waterfall OPEX in some rows includes depreciation within the OPEX line. This slide's OPEX = cash-only throughout. Slide 21 OPEX rows also show dep separately. Always verify whether a quoted OPEX figure is cash-only or inclusive of dep before cross-referencing. Y3 OPEX CONFLICT: This bridge: ৳8,400K (partial Phase 2 staff ramp); Slide 21 waterfall: ৳10,200K (full Phase 2 headcount from Y3 Q1). Gap = ৳1,800K. Canonical OPEX: Slide 21 (conservative, higher). Y3 EBIT in this bridge (৳11,788K) uses a higher revenue scope (BD+GCC ৳35.26M) vs. Slide 21 (BD-domestic ৳26.78M) — so direct EBIT comparison across slides is not apple-to-apple. Within the same revenue scope, the OPEX gap of ৳1,800K (৳10,200K canonical − ৳8,400K bridge) causes EBIT to overstate by ৳1,800K vs. canonical Slide 21 OPEX assumption (not ৳684K — prior version contained an arithmetic error). Corrected Y3 EBIT on bridge revenue using canonical OPEX = ৳11,788K − ৳1,800K = ৳9,988K. Slide 21 figure is the conservative anchor. All EBIT sensitivity uses Slide 21 OPEX. SME Interest (Y3+): ৳1,500K/yr = 10% × ৳15M SME bank loan (Phase 2 machinery financing, base-rate assumption). ⚠ SME INTEREST SENSITIVITY: Model uses mid-rate ৳15M × 10% = ৳1.5M. Disclosed range is ৳15–20M at 9–12%. Midpoint = ৳17.5M × 10.5% = ৳1,838K/yr — model understates interest by ~৳338K/yr on midpoint basis. Stress case: ৳20M × 12% = ৳2.4M/yr → Y4 Net Cash = ৳22.396M − ৳900K incremental = ৳21.5M. Midpoint stress: ৳1.8M/yr is the conservative anchor. Collateral: machinery book value ~৳7.45M at Y2 vs ৳15M loan — personal guarantees likely required. Net Cash = EBIT − SME Interest − Royalty. Y4 Net Cash ৳22.4M (base) / ৳21.5M (midpoint stress). Y4 EBITDA margin: 49% (unchanged — EBITDA is pre-interest). ⚠ ARR Scope Note: This bridge uses Phase 2 expanded revenue (15–16 machines post M18): Y2=৳21.05M, Y3=৳35.26M. Roadmap slide ARR (Y2=৳20.45M, Y3=৳26.78M) = Phase 1 Model A four-machine baseline only. The royalty waterfall (Slide 21) uses Phase 2 expanded revenue; all royalty arithmetic is internally consistent within its own scope.
[Model A — Phase 1 Conservative Floor] Y2 ARR = ৳20.45M. 4-machine baseline. Used for roadmap timeline validation and conservative MOIC floor (2.26×).
Y2 ARR = ৳21.05M. 15–16 machines + GCC ramp from M13. Used in quarterly cash flow bridge (this slide). Royalty Y2 = ৳1.053M on this base (= 5% × ৳21.05M).
Y2 total = ৳22.85M (BD ৳20.45M + GCC ৳2.4M). Used for Slide 21 royalty calc. Royalty Y2 = ৳1.142M. Most aggressive scope — requires GCC activation by M13.
📌 CANONICAL MODEL GUIDANCE — TWO MODELS ONLY: Two canonical models: Model A (conservative, Phase 1 only — anchor for underwriting) and Model C (base case plan — Phase 2 + GCC, drives 3.01× MOIC). Model B is a deprecated computational intermediate — use Model A or Model C only. Anchor: Model A (৳20.45M Y2) as conservative floor; Model C (৳22.85M Y2) as target. Model B and C represent conditional upside scenarios requiring Phase 2 execution and GCC activation respectively. The primary MOIC of 3.01× uses Y4 ৳60M (Model C scale at Y4) — achievable only with Phase 2 + GCC fully executed. Conservative MOIC at Model A scale = 2.26× (৳45M Y4 revenue · ৳144M exit) — still investor-positive at ~23% IRR. Models B/C are sensitivity scenarios, not base case promises.
| QUARTER | REVENUE | COGS | GP | OPEX | EBIT | ROYALTY | NET | CUM. ROY. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 2,096,000 | 747,074 | 1,348,926 | 1,610,000 | (261,074) | — | (261,074) | 0 |
| Q2 | 4,104,800 | 1,463,068 | 2,641,732 | 1,938,000 | 703,732 | — | 703,732 | 0 |
| Q3 | 4,432,800 | 1,579,977 | 2,852,823 | 2,025,000 | 827,823 | 73,880 | 753,943 | 73,880 |
| Q4 ★ OPEX lower than Q3: Q4 Eid surge runs on fully-trained staff (no onboarding/training cost); annual insurance & maintenance reserves settled in Q3; admin overhead lower in production-heavy Eid sprint. Review recommended. | 4,409,600 | 1,571,707 | 2,837,893 | 1,725,000 | 1,112,893 | 220,480 5% × ৳4,409,600 | 892,413 | 294,360 |
| YEAR 1 TOTAL [Model A · Phase 1 Baseline · BD-domestic only] | 15,043,200 | 5,361,826 | 9,681,374 | 7,298,000 | 2,383,374 | 294,360 | 2,089,014 | 294,360 |
| Year 2 | 20,448,000 +৳2,400,000 GCC Phase 2 | 7,288,251 | 13,159,749 | 8,700,000 | 4,459,749 | 1,142,400 5% × ৳22.85M (BD+GCC). Note: Quarterly bridge slide uses Model B royalty ৳1,053K on ৳21.05M — ৳89K scope diff explained in bridge reconciliation box. | 3,317,349 | 1,436,760 |
| Year 3 ⚠ SCOPE NOTE: EBIT = BD-domestic revenue base (৳26.78M). Royalty = 5% × total BD+GCC (৳35.26M). NET here is NOT a consolidated P&L — use Slide 20 bridge for consolidated Y3 Net Cash (৳8,525K). | 26,784,000 +৳8,481,000 GCC Phase 2 | 9,546,583 | 17,237,417 | 10,200,000 | 7,037,417 | 1,763,240 5% × ৳35.26M total | 5,274,177 | 3,200,000 |
| 3-YR CUMULATIVE ⚠ Revenue = BD-domestic only (Phase 1 basis). Royalty computed on total incl. GCC (Y2 ৳22.85M; Y3 ৳35.26M). Full revenue incl. GCC = ৳73.15M — see Slide 20 bridge. | ৳62.3M | 22,196,660 | ৳40.1M | 26,198,000 | ৳13.88M | ৳3.2M | ৳10.68M | 3,200,000 |
By end of Year 3: 14.8% of ৳21.6M royalty cap repaid. ⚠ IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE: Y2 royalty (৳1,142,400) and Y3 royalty (৳1,763,240) are calculated on total blended revenue including GCC Phase 2 export streams not fully shown in the BD-domestic ARR figures (Y2 total incl. GCC ≈ ৳22.85M; Y3 total incl. GCC ≈ ৳35.26M). At this trajectory, realistic cap completion: M72–M84 (base case) — Phase 2 + Phase 3 GCC revenue acceleration required to materially shorten this timeline. Aggressive case (full GCC + D2C Phase 3): M54–M66. At the Y4 M&A exit (before cap reached), investor retains 25% equity stake — increasing exit proceeds to 25% × exit value, which substantially improves MOIC (see investor returns slide).
| SCENARIO | CONDITION | Peak Annual Royalty | Cap at Y4 Exit (M48) | Estimated Completion | Investor Position at Y4 Exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear BD domestic only |
GCC never activates · D2C minimal · 4 machines only | ~৳775K/yr (5%×৳15.5M — BD domestic only; GCC not activated in this scenario) |
~৳2.7M / ৳21.6M 13% of cap |
M96–M108 8–9 years |
Investor retains full 25% equity — value grows as AURAQ scales toward global brand. Royalty as running cash stream. SHA-protected exit mechanisms (secondary sale, MBO, drag-along) provide liquidity independent of M&A timing. |
| Base Phase 2 + partial GCC |
GCC activates M15 · 2 buyers · 15–16 machines · D2C minimal | ~৳2.9M/yr (5%×৳58M Y4 ARR) |
~৳6.2M / ৳21.6M 29% of cap |
M72–M84 6–7 years |
Retains 25% equity at Y4 exit → 25%×৳192M = ৳48M + ৳6.2M royalties = ৳54.2M · MOIC ~3.01×. Cap completes post-exit. |
| Bull Full Phase 2+3 |
GCC M13 · 3+ buyers · D2C Y3 live · ৳8M D2C revenue | ~৳5.7M/yr (5%×৳114M run-rate) |
~৳14.2M / ৳21.6M 66% of cap |
M54–M66 4.5–5.5 years |
Cap nears completion pre-exit. At exit: investor collects remaining cap balance + exercises residual 5% equity in a larger business. Higher cash returns throughout. |
Auraq's financial model is stress-tested across three scenarios spanning the realistic outcome distribution. Every scenario preserves the ৳21.6M royalty cap mechanism — only timing and exit valuation vary.
| Y1 ARR | ৳11.79M |
| Y2 ARR | ৳15.5M |
| Y3 ARR | ৳20.0M |
| Y1 EBIT | ৳540K |
| Cash BE | M5–6 |
| Royalty Start | M14 |
| Cap Reached | M60 |
| Y4 Exit Val | ৳120M |
| Equity at Exit | 25% (cap not hit) |
| Return | ৳38.5M SHA floor: ৳36M+৳2.5M |
| MOIC | ~2.14× SHA-protected ↑ from 1.81× |
| IRR | ~21% |
| Y1 ARR | ৳15.04M |
| Y2 ARR | ৳20.45M |
| Y3 ARR | ৳26.78M |
| Y1 EBIT | ৳2.38M |
| EBITDA BE / EBIT BE | M3 / M4 |
| Royalty Start | M9 |
| Cap Reached | M72–84 |
| Y4 Exit Equity | 25% (pre-cap) |
| Y4 Exit Val | ৳192M |
| Return | ৳54.2M |
| MOIC | ~3.01× (Model C · Phase 2+GCC) Conservative: ~2.26× Model A |
| IRR | ~31% |
| Y1 ARR | ৳17.85M |
| Y2 ARR | ৳28.5M |
| Y3 ARR | ৳42.0M |
| Y1 EBIT | ৳3.85M |
| Cash BE | M2 |
| Royalty Start | M9 |
| Cap Reached | M54–66 |
| Y4 Exit Val | ৳280M |
| Equity at Exit | 25% (cap not hit) |
| Return | ৳78.5M |
| MOIC | ~4.36× |
| IRR | ~38% |
| DRIVER | ⚠ WORST | ◆ BASE | ★ BEST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Util Ramp | 25% → 70% by M9 | 30% → 85% by M6 | 40% → 90% by M5 |
| Blended Rate | ৳2.55/1K (-9%) | ৳2.80/1K | ৳3.05/1K (+9%, Tier 2 mix) |
| Phase 2 Export | Delayed M18 | Activates M13–M15 | Pulled forward to M10 |
| USD/BDT | +5–8% spike | Stable (~৳110) | Stable to favorable |
| Client Concentration | Top client L/C delay 90d | 25% cap from M4 | Multiple GCC anchors |
| Defect Rate | 1.5% (rework) | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Y4 Exit Multiple | 3.0× ARR | 3.2× ARR | 3.5×–4.0× ARR |
Investor concern: "What happens if two risks occur simultaneously?" Real risks are interconnected: USD↑ → input cost↑ · Electricity↑ → margin↓ · Labour shortage → util↓. Below is the combined-risk matrix.
| COMBINED SHOCK SCENARIO | Y1 ARR IMPACT | Y1 EBIT | CASH RUNWAY | RECOVERY PATH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base Case (no shock) | ৳15.04M | ৳2.38M | 12+ months | Steady-state by M4 |
| USD +5% & Electricity +10% | ৳15.04M | ৳1.85M | 11 months | WC absorbs ৳350K shock; pricing pass-through M6+ |
| USD +8% & Labour +12% wages | ৳15.04M | ৳1.55M | 10 months | ৳650K combined hit; recovered via Tier 2 mix shift |
| Price -5% & Util -10% | ৳12.85M | ৳950K | 8 months | Royalty deferred to M11; export ramp accelerated |
| Top client 90-day L/C delay | ৳15.04M (deferred) | ৳2.20M | 9 months | ৳3.5M WC absorbs payment lag; receivables recover |
| Top client default (full) | ৳12.5M | ৳1.10M | 7 months | 25% concentration cap means max ৳3.8M loss; replaced M2–M3 |
| Generator failure 30 days | ৳13.8M | ৳1.40M | 9 months | ৳600K backup rental cost · 25% capacity loss for 1 mo |
| Worst Combined: Price -10%, Vol -20%, USD +8% | ৳10.85M | (৳620K) | 5–6 months | Royalty grace extended; cap timeline pushes to M60 |
| EXTREME: Above + key person loss | ৳9.2M | (৳1.4M) | 4 months | Operations Manual + N+1 protocol activates; recovery M5 |
| RISK VECTOR | SEVERITY | PROBABILITY | QUANTIFIED IMPACT | MITIGATION |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machine Breakdown | Medium | Medium | Mean downtime: 4hr/event; ~2 events/quarter; ~10hr/mo loss | 4-machine redundancy · 5% buffer baked in · 24hr Guangzhou support |
| Spare Parts Lead | Medium | Medium | Local: 24–48hr · Guangzhou airfreight: 7 days · Sea: 25 days | On-site spare inventory: rotary hooks ×4, bobbin cases ×20, drive belts ×6, 200 needles |
| Skilled Operator Shortage | Medium | Medium | 4-week onboarding per replacement · 20% util loss for 2 weeks | N+1 cross-training · WhatsApp backup roster (5–7 vetted) · 2hr deployment |
| IP / Design Theft | High | Low | Loss of competitive moat — quantitative damages ৳5M+ | Dahao A18 encrypted push · zero-USB · per-operator access logs |
| Client Concentration | High | Medium | 25% top-client dependency = max ৳3.8M Y1 revenue loss | 25% single-client cap from M4 · 4-segment diversification · funnel velocity |
| Power Disruption | High | Medium | Grid outage Bangladesh: ~8–12 events/mo · 2–4hr each | 30 KVA UPS (zero-ms) · 32 kW DG (8–10hr runtime) · 200L diesel reserve |
| Fire / Facility Risk | High | Low | Major event: ৳25M asset loss · Insurance covers | Multi-layer framework · ≥4 CO2 + ≥4 detectors · ৳25M insurance · BNBC |
| HR / Operator Loss | Medium | Medium | Unplanned exit: 2-week productivity gap per role | N+1 cross-training · backup roster · 8% increment · group health · Eid bonuses |
| Payment / Receivables | Medium | Medium | 90-day delay = ৳2.1M cash gap (top client) | 30/30/40 milestone billing · advance for new clients · ৳3.5M WC absorbs |
| USD/BDT FX Volatility | Medium | Medium | 5% spike = ৳550K capex overrun · 8% = ৳880K | L/C USD lock-in · ৳3.5M WC absorbs · forward contracts available |
Quantified: 2–8 min/event · single head only · ~40 events/day cumulative across 24 heads = ~3hr/day total · already netted in 16% downtime reserve.
Quantified: ~8 events/day · 16.7% capacity loss per event · auto-stop · 200 spare titanium needles · ~5min replace.
Quantified: Mean ~2 events/quarter · 4hr each · 25% capacity loss · 24hr remote diagnostic + 2hr local SLA.
| Risk | Prob. | Impact | Score | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power disruption | High (70%) | Medium | 21 | MANAGED |
| Client concentration | Med (45%) | High | 27 | MONITOR |
| FX rate shock | Med (40%) | Medium | 16 | MANAGED |
| Machine breakdown | Med (30%) | Medium | 12 | LOW |
| Key person loss | Low (20%) | High | 18 | MANAGED |
| Fire / facility | Low (8%) | High | 8 | LOW |
| Regulatory delay | Low (15%) | Medium | 6 | VERY LOW |
| IP / design theft | Low (10%) | High | 9 | LOW |
| Aggregate Portfolio Risk Score | 15.4 | MODERATE | ||
Score = Probability% × Impact (1–5 scale) × 10. Industry threshold for early-stage manufacturing investment: ≤25. AURAQ scores 15.4 — well within acceptable range.
| Scenario | Prob. | Y1 Rev. | Y1 EBIT [illustrative see note ↓] | MOIC@Y4 [Y4 exit based] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull (80%+ util) | 20% | ৳22.5M | ৳5.8M † | 4.21× (≠ Best-case 4.36× — see note ↓) |
| ★ Base (55% util) | 60% | ৳15.04M | ৳2.2M | 3.01× |
| Bear (30% util) | 15% | ৳9.2M | (৳420K) | 2.32× |
| Worst (10% util) | 5% | ৳3.8M | (৳2.1M) | ~2.03× SHA floor protected |
| Probability-Weighted | ~৳15.1M [‡] | ~৳2.3M [‡] | ~3.07× | |
Utilization rate is the #1 lever — controlled by sales pipeline velocity, not external macro factors. Within founder's direct control.
Portfolio risk score 15.4/25 (Moderate) — well within acceptable early-stage manufacturing thresholds. Probability-weighted MOIC ~3.07× (utilization-based Monte Carlo). Downside protected by ৳13.8M hard asset floor (77% capital recovery in worst case) + SHA contractual secondary sale right (M48+) at 2× invested = ৳36M equity floor — meaning worst-case effective MOIC ≥ 2.03× (not 1.81% pre-SHA raw exit). Upside asymmetry: 20% bull scenario delivers 4.21×. The #1 risk driver (utilization rate) is directly within founder's control through the sales funnel — not externally driven. Risk-adjusted return profile compares favorably to comparable BD manufacturing investments at 1.4–2.0× average.
| METRIC | LOCAL MANUAL | MID-TIER BD | IMPORTED DUBAI/INDIA | AURAQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price / 1K Stitch | ৳3.40–৳3.80 (field quote) | ৳3.00–৳3.40 (field quote) | ৳5.50–৳7.00 (import est.) | ৳2.80 (Tier 1) · 22% below manual |
| Speed (SPM) | 650–800 | 900–1100 | 1200–1500 | 1100–1500 Peak |
| Defect Rate | 8–12% | 3–5% | 0.5–1% | <0.5% |
| Auto-Bead/Sequin | ✕ None | ✕ Manual only | ✓ Yes | ✓ Native multi-head |
| IP Security | USB / paper | USB | Limited cloud | Dahao A18 encrypted |
| Lead Time | 21–30 days | 14–21 days | 30–45 days (import) | 7–10 days |
| Vertical Integration | 1 layer | 1–2 layers | 3 layers | 6 layers (full) |
| Compliance Docs | None | Partial | Full export | ISO + Labour Act |
| Local BD Service | ✓ | ✓ | ✕ Import only | ✓ + Export-ready |
Auraq occupies the strategic intersection: Dubai/India quality at BD pricing. Imported-tier precision (0.1mm, <0.5% defect, auto-bead) at 22% below local manual rates with 3× faster lead time than imports.
Investor concern: "Does insurance fully cover equipment replacement?" Below is the asset-by-asset reconciliation showing ৳25M coverage matches actual replacement value at landed-cost basis.
| ASSET CATEGORY | REPLACEMENT VALUE | COVERAGE | RATIONALE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 × CNC Machines (landed) | ৳11,000,000 | 100% | Full landed cost incl. 31% duty + freight; replaces with new units from Guangzhou |
| Infrastructure (UPS, Generator, HVAC) | ৳1,800,000 | 100% | 30 KVA UPS + 32 kW DG + air system + acoustic panels at replacement cost |
| Facility Setup & IT | ৳1,000,000 | 100% | Dahao A18 license + ERP + workstations + surveillance + furniture |
| Industrial Sewing Machines | ৳150,000 | 100% | 2 industrial-grade units |
| Raw Material Inventory (avg) | ৳1,200,000 | 100% | 3-month inventory: thread, beads, sequins, backing, needles |
| Work-in-Progress (avg) | ৳1,500,000 | 100% | Mid-production batches at peak utilization |
| Finished Goods Inventory | ৳800,000 | 100% | Pending dispatch / quality-hold inventory |
| Business Interruption (90 days) | ৳7,500,000 | 100% | Rider: 3 months × ৳2.5M revenue protection during recovery |
| TOTAL ASSET EXPOSURE | ৳24,950,000 | ৳25,000,000 | Full coverage with ৳50K headroom |
Structure: Single ৳25M commercial umbrella package policy — individual sublimits within the umbrella represent maximum payable per event type, not cumulative. Total asset exposure = ৳24.95M (fully covered). Sublimits are not additive — the umbrella cap is ৳25M.
▸ Fire Sublimit: ৳18M (machinery + facility + inventory per fire event)
▸ Theft / Burglary Sublimit: ৳15M (equipment + inventory per theft event)
▸ Machinery Breakdown Sublimit: ৳13M (CNC + UPS + DG per breakdown event)
▸ Business Interruption Rider: ৳7.5M / 90 days (separate add-on rider)
▸ Public Liability: ৳5M (third-party, separate sub-policy)
▸ Annual Premium: ৳350K–৳420K (1.4–1.7% of insured value · ৳29K–৳35K/mo)
Engaging Sadharan Bima Corporation (state-backed) + Pragati Insurance for combined coverage. Policy activation: Day 1 of machine arrival at factory. Annual premium ৳350K–৳420K = ৳29K–৳35K/month.
All critical regulatory instruments are either in-progress or on defined post-close timelines. No material regulatory barrier to commencing Phase 1 production — the longest path item is machine ocean transit (70–90 days), not compliance.
| TAX HEAD | RATE | APPLICABILITY | IMPACT ON MODEL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate Income Tax | 0% (Y1–Y5) | If NBR SRO 150 holiday approved | EBIT = EBIT post-tax. Model EBITs (৳2.38M Y1, ৳4.46M Y2) are already on pre-tax basis — holiday makes them post-tax equivalent. ৳550K–৳1.1M cumulative Y1–Y3 savings added to free cash flow. |
| Corporate Tax (Fallback) | 20% | If SRO holiday not approved (private limited, listed-eligible) | Y1 post-tax EBIT: ৳2.38M × 80% = ৳1.90M. Y2: ৳4.46M × 80% = ৳3.57M. Sensitivity: worst-case tax scenario reduces MOIC from 3.01× to ~2.74× — still above minimum threshold. |
| Royalty — WHT | 10% | Withholding Tax on royalty payments to investor (ITO 1984 §52AA) | On ৳294K Y1 royalty: WHT = ৳29.4K. On ৳1.14M Y2: WHT = ৳114K. On ৳1.76M Y3: WHT = ৳176K. ⚠ Net royalty to investor is 10% lower than gross shown in model. SHA should specify gross vs. net royalty basis. Cumulative Y1–Y4 WHT impact: ~৳320K — immaterial vs. ৳192M exit. |
| Equity Exit — CGT | 15% | Capital Gains Tax on share sale (unlisted, ITO 1984 §2(15)) | On ৳48M equity exit (25% × ৳192M): CGT base = ৳48M − ৳18M investment = ৳30M gain × 15% = ৳4.5M CGT. Net investor proceeds: ৳48M − ৳4.5M = ৳43.5M. Adjusted MOIC: (৳43.5M + ~৳4.5M royalties net) ÷ ৳18M = ~2.67× (post-tax, post-CGT). |
| VAT / BIN | 15% (output) | BD VAT Act 2012; B2B — input VAT creditable | B2B clients registered under BIN can claim input VAT credit. Net VAT liability on AURAQ = near-zero in B2B channel (pass-through). D2C channel (Phase 3): 15% VAT on consumer price — build into D2C pricing. Already noted in trade license compliance. |
Machine transit (70–90 days) defines the critical path — not compliance. RJSC + Trade License + BIN can be finalized in parallel during machine transit. Production Day-1 is blocked only by machine delivery, which is capital-dependent. All instruments are on-track.
| ESG Dimension | Standard | Status | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Rights | ILO Core Conventions | COMPLIANT | A |
| Minimum Wage | BD Labour Act 2006 | ABOVE MIN | A+ |
| Worker Safety | BNBC + Factory Act | IN PROG | A |
| Environmental | DoE Orange-A | PRE-CERT | B+ |
| Gender Inclusion | BGMEA Gender Policy | ≥40% WOMEN | A |
| Data Privacy | PDPA 2022 (BD) | COMPLIANT | A |
| Health Insurance | Group policy M1 | BUDGETED | A |
| ESG Overall | Professional standard | ELIGIBLE | A |
ESG score supports GCC buyer compliance requirements and PE acquirer ESG screening at exit.
AURAQ meets or exceeds compliance requirements across all 7 regulatory dimensions. GCC export pathway is legally sound — Dubai Borka House (confirmed anchor buyer) handles destination customs, eliminating AURAQ's UAE import risk in Phase 1. ESG scorecard supports PE acquirer screening at exit. IP strategy creates acquirable intangible assets worth +0.2–0.4× exit multiple premium. Aggregate regulatory risk (probability-weighted across all dimensions): LOW · ৳120K expected value — fully within contingency budget.
"Four machines. One vision. Scalable, pre-order-validated returns."
5% Gross Revenue Royalty · Grace Period Months 1–8 · Starts Month 9 · Cap ৳21,600,000
| COMPANY / TRANSACTION | EXIT VALUE | REVENUE | MULTIPLE | BUYER TYPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gokaldas Exports — Blackstone stake expansion (India, 2022) | ~$120M | ~$43M | 2.8× Rev | Global PE · Blackstone |
| Pearl Global Industries — strategic stake (India/BD, 2021) | ~$45M | ~$18M | 2.5× Rev | Strategic investor |
| KPR Mill Limited — market re-rating (India, 2023) | Public NSE | ₹4,200Cr | 3.1× Rev | Public market; automation premium |
| Artisan Embroidery Sub-contractor (BD archetype) | ৳25M | ৳5M | 5.0× | Local Textile Group |
| Fashion Tech Apparel Setup (BD archetype) | ৳35M | ৳6M | 5.8× | Global Fashion Retailer |
| AURAQ Target — Year 4 M&A Exit · Target Acquirer Categories: BD Conglomerates (DBL, Square, Beximco) · GCC Retail (Landmark, Azadea) · PE (Creador) ⚠ Formal engagement post-RJSC registration & track record. Early-stage strategic discussions planned for Y3. | ৳192M+ (conservative floor — actual upside likely higher) | ৳60M+ conservative minimum; growth trajectory may exceed this | 3.2× (Conservative; comp median 2.65×) | GCC / BD Conglomerate / PE |
| REVENUE DRIVER | Y3 BASE | Y4 CONTRIBUTION | DRIVER |
|---|---|---|---|
| BD Domestic B2B (Phase 1 stable) | ৳26.78M | ৳28M | +5% organic growth; ৳2.80 → ৳2.90/1K price step |
| GCC Export B2B (Phase 2 full-year) | ৳8.48M (ramp) | ৳18M | Full-year GCC anchor contracts; ৳6.50/1K export rate = 2.3× domestic rate |
| D2C Brand Revenue (Phase 3) | — | ৳8M | AURAQ Signature brand launch; 21-day design-to-rack; premium D2C margin |
| Tier 2 + Corporate Mix Uplift | 5% mix | ৳6M | Tier 2 (৳3.20/1K) + Corporate Logo (৳4.50/1K) mix increase to 25% |
| Y4 TOTAL ARR TARGET | Y3 BD-domestic: ৳26.78M Y3 total (incl. GCC): ৳35.26M | ৳60M+ (conservative floor · actual likely higher) | +124% from Y3 BD-domestic · +70% from Y3 total (incl. GCC) — ৳60M is the minimum conservative projection; Y3 actual growth and export volume could push Y4 significantly higher. Modeled as floor, not ceiling. |
Y1–Y3 growth is linear (domestic B2B ramp, 31–36% YoY) — limited by BD domestic market depth. Y4 is structurally different: (1) GCC Export full-year — export pricing at ৳6.50/1K is 2.3× domestic rate; even moderate export volume dramatically inflects total ARR. (2) B2C/D2C Own-Brand semi-established — 3 years of content investment activates a consumer channel with superior unit economics. (3) Valuation premium effect — by Y4, AURAQ is an operating ecosystem with 3+ year track record, 22% cost advantage vs. manual competitors, and automation-led margin structure — justifying 3.2× ARR at exit.
Note: Y3 BD-domestic-only ARR = ৳26.78M. Y3 total (incl. GCC Phase 2 ramp) = ৳35.26M (per royalty calculation in Slide 21). Y4 ৳60M represents 124% growth from Y3 BD-domestic baseline and 70% growth from Y3 total — both figures are internally consistent. The growth is driven by: (a) full-year GCC export at ৳6.50/1K premium pricing, (b) semi-established D2C channel, and (c) Tier 2/Corporate mix uplift — not by domestic volume alone.
Auraq's ৳72,000,000 Post-Money Valuation is derived across three financial methodologies at 4.79× Y1 ARR of ৳15.04M.
| VALUATION METHOD | ESTIMATED VALUE | JUSTIFICATION & CALCULATION BASIS |
|---|---|---|
| Forward ARR Multiple | ৳71.86M (~৳72M) | Anchored on Year 1 Volatility-Modeled ARR of ৳15.04M × 4.79×. Conservative for Tech-Manufacturing at 4-unit industrial scale (sector multiples: 4.0×–7.5×). ৳15,043,200 × 4.79 = ৳72,057,000 → rounded to ৳72M. |
| EBITDA / DCF Proxy | ৳68M – ৳80M | 8× normalized EBITDA on projected Year 2 stabilized operations (৳8.5M+ EBITDA). Reflects premium for 24-head automated precision over manual labor at 64.3% Gross Margin. |
| Asset & IP Baseline | ৳36M (Floor) | Hard asset liquidation value (৳18M CAPEX) + Proprietary Dahao A18 punching IP + Day-0 confirmed verbal-order pipeline (৳252,000/month · 5 clients · formal contracts post-incorporation) + 24-head rare auto-bead capability + ৳3.5M working capital buffer. |
| ADOPTED POST-MONEY | ৳72,000,000 | Solidifies the 25% Equity ask for ৳18M Capital. Investor entry = ৳72M × 25% = ৳18M. Primary — Year 4 M&A Exit: Royalty cap NOT reached by M48 (~29% complete). Investor retains full 25% equity → ৳192M × 25% = ৳48M + ৳6.2M royalties = ৳54.2M ≈ ~3.01× MOIC. ⚠ Royalty Burden Adj.: A sophisticated acquirer may haircut EV by PV of remaining royalty obligation (~৳15.4M remaining cap × discount at 18% WACC ≈ ৳8.5–9.5M NPV). Royalty-burden-adjusted MOIC: ~2.84× (৳51.2M ÷ ৳18M). Still materially above 2.26× conservative floor. Conservative floor (hold-to-cap M72–84): ৳21.6M royalty + ৳9.6M residual = ৳31.2M (1.73×). [Royalty calc note: ৳6.2M = Y1 ৳294K + Y2 ৳1,142K + Y3 ৳1,763K + Y4 ৳3,000K — 5% applied on each year's full revenue per quarterly bridge model.] |
Auraq offsets valuation risk via the Hybrid Revenue-Based Financing (RBF) structure. The 5% Gross Revenue Royalty (grace period Months 1–8, starting Month 9) guarantees prioritized liquidity for investors before traditional M&A exit horizons — running until the 120% Payout Milestone (৳21,600,000 against ৳18M principal) is achieved. Upon reaching this milestone, investor equity compresses from 25% to a residual 5%, and founder equity restores to 95% — a clear, mathematically structured clawback that incentivizes both parties.
4-unit CNC platform with Dahao A18 automation produces at 1,100–1,500 SPM vs. manual 650–800 SPM. AURAQ's defect rate (<0.5%) is 20× better than local manual (8–12%). This is a technology business deployed in apparel manufacturing — not a manual workshop.
AURAQ's ৳2.80/1K Tier 1 pricing is 22% below local manual (৳3.40–৳3.80). Despite lower price, 64.3% gross margin is achieved — well above all listed textile comps (31–44%). This structural margin premium is the core valuation argument for 3.2× ARR multiple.
AURAQ is building the precision embroidery ecosystem for BD's clothing sector — B2B manufacturing → GCC export infrastructure → D2C own brand. This Phase 1→2→3 model mirrors how tech-enabled apparel companies command 3×–5× revenue multiples vs. 1×–1.5× for commodity manufacturers.
| PERIOD | BD B2B ৳2.80–৳2.90/1K |
GCC Export ৳6.50/1K |
Tier 2 Mix ৳3.20/1K |
D2C Brand ৳8–12/1K |
Quarter ARR | Royalty (5%) | Key Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ── YEAR 2 (M13–M24) ── | |||||||
| Y2 Q1 | ৳4,912,000 | ৳400,000 | — | — | ৳5,312,000 | ৳265,600 | GCC ramp begins M15 · 2 machines added |
| Y2 Q2 | ৳5,212,000 | ৳600,000 | — | — | ৳5,812,000 | ৳290,600 | GCC 2nd buyer activates · Eid surge BD |
| Y2 Q3 | ৳4,712,000 | ৳700,000 | — | — | ৳5,412,000 | ৳270,600 | BD off-season offset by GCC growth |
| Y2 Q4 | ৳5,612,000 | ৳700,000 | — | — | ৳6,312,000 | ৳315,600 | Wedding season · Tier 2 mix uplift |
| Y2 TOTAL | ৳20,448,000 | ৳2,400,000 | — | — | ৳22,848,000 | ৳1,142,400 | +52% vs Y1 · GCC = 10.5% of revenue · Aligned to Slide 21 Model C |
| ── YEAR 3 (M25–M36) ── | |||||||
| Y3 Q1–Q2 | ৳9,600,000 | ৳4,200,000 | ৳1,400,000 | ৳800,000 | ৳16,000,000 | ৳800,000 | D2C soft launch · GCC 3 buyers stable |
| Y3 Q3–Q4 | ৳9,800,000 | ৳4,960,000 | ৳1,800,000 | ৳2,700,000 | ৳19,260,000 | ৳963,000 | D2C gaining traction · Tier 2 mix up |
| Y3 TOTAL | ৳19,400,000 | ৳9,160,000 | ৳3,200,000 | ৳3,500,000 | ৳35,260,000 | ৳1,763,000 | +54% vs Y2 · GCC=26% · D2C=10% |
| ── YEAR 4 (M37–M48) · Exit Year ── | |||||||
| Y4 TOTAL | ৳28,000,000 | ৳18,000,000 | ৳6,000,000 | ৳8,000,000 | ৳60,000,000 | ৳3,000,000 5%×৳60M | Full-year GCC + D2C · +70% vs Y3 · Global Brand Scale Year |
Phase 1: 4 machines (24 heads · 544M stitches/mo). Phase 2 (M18–M24): +12 machines → 16 total (96 heads · ~2,176M stitches/mo capacity). Y4 revenue assumes Phase 2 at 65% utilization — NOT 85%. Conservative ramp on expanded fleet. Without Phase 2 machines: Y4 ceiling = ~৳25M (4-machine max at 95% util).
Y3 GCC = ৳9.16M at ৳6.50/1K. Y4 GCC = ৳18M (near-2× volume growth). Enabled by: 3 confirmed GCC buyers by Y3 → 5–6 buyers by Y4. GCC rate ৳6.50–৳6.80/1K (premium tier) vs BD ৳2.80/1K. GCC contributes 30% of Y4 revenue but ~55% of Y4 margin uplift.
D2C: ৳3.5M Y3 → ৳8M Y4 (128% growth from brand momentum + TikTok/Reels flywheel). Tier 2 mix: ৳3.2M Y3 → ৳6M Y4. These are upside layers, not base assumptions. If D2C underperforms, Y4 floor = ৳52M (Phase 2 machines + GCC only) — still 3× MOIC viable.
Y4 Exit EV (৳M) · 5-Year DCF · Terminal Value via Gordon Growth Model · Discount Rate = WACC
| WACC ↓ / Growth → | 5% Growth | 8% Growth | 10% Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC 22% | ৳148M | ৳162M | ৳171M |
| WACC 20% | ৳163M | ৳182M ✓ | ৳194M |
| WACC 18% | ৳181M | ৳205M | ৳221M |
✓ = Base case anchor (WACC 20%, 8% terminal growth). All scenarios above ৳148M support the ৳192M M&A target floor. 3× methods converge: ARR multiple (৳192M) · DCF (৳182M base) · Asset+IP baseline (৳36M floor). WACC 20% = BD risk-free 10% + sector premium 7% + illiquidity 3%.
| SCENARIO | Probability | Y4 ARR | Exit Val | MOIC | Weighted | Key Condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear SHA Floor Protected |
15% | ৳28M | ৳84M Floor: ৳40M |
~2.22× ↑ from raw 1.81× ⚠ Raw 1.81× per SHA floor logic. SHA-adjusted 2.22× = ৳36M equity floor + ~৳4M royalties = ৳40M ÷ ৳18M. |
0.33× | GCC delays, price compression · SHA secondary sale right (M48+) triggers ৳36M equity floor + ~৳4M cumulative royalties = ৳40M contractual minimum → 2.22× · Pre-SHA raw exit = 1.81×; SHA floor sets effective minimum at 2.22× |
| Model A ★ | 35% | ৳45M | ৳144M | ~2.26× | 0.79× | Phase 1 only · conservative floor |
| Model C | 40% | ৳60M | ৳192M | ~3.01× | 1.19× | Phase 2 + GCC fully executing |
| Best | 10% | ৳80M+ | ৳256M+ | ~4.36× | 0.44× | D2C brand exit premium · GCC full |
| PROBABILITY-WEIGHTED MOIC | ~2.75× | Blended expected return = ~29% IRR · SHA floor lifts Bear from 1.81× → 2.22× | ||||
| Company | Exchange | FY24 Revenue | EV/Rev | EV/EBITDA (trading) | Gross Margin | Relevance to AURAQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gokaldas Exports Blackstone-backed, tech-enabled mfg |
NSE India | ₹1,850Cr | 1.8× | 14× (listed) | 38% | GM benchmark. Listed at 14× EV/EBITDA. M&A deal at acquisition: 11.2× — see transaction comps section for deal price. |
| KPR Mill Limited Automated textile + branded apparel |
NSE India | ₹4,200Cr | 3.1× | 16× (listed) | 44% | Key signal: CNC automation + 44% GM → 3.1× EV/Rev, 16× EV/EBITDA. AURAQ at 64.3% GM should command ≥ 3.1×. Trading 16× vs M&A re-rate event 13.8×. |
| Pearl Global Industries BD + India precision garment exporter |
NSE India | ₹2,100Cr | 1.5× | 11× (listed) | 35% | Lower GM (35%) → lower multiple. Confirms the GM→multiple relationship: 35% GM = 11×; 64.3% GM justifies far higher. |
| Welspun India Commodity textile — absolute floor ref |
BSE India | ₹9,800Cr | 1.2× | 10× (listed) | 31% | Commodity floor. 31% GM = 10× EV/EBITDA = 1.2× EV/Rev. AURAQ's 64.3% GM is 2× higher — even at half the multiple (5×) AURAQ exceeds its ৳192M target. |
| CNC Embroidery SME ⚠ Private est. — directional only, no public audit |
M&A ref. | ~$8M ARR | 3.5× | 18× (pvt est.) | 62% | Closest size and profile match to AURAQ. 62% GM + GCC pipeline → 3.5× / 18×. Private estimate; AURAQ's 64.3% GM > this comp's 62% = upside case. |
| AURAQ — Y4 Exit Target ৳29.4M EBITDA · ৳60M ARR · 49% margin |
Strategic/PE | ৳60M ARR | 3.2× | 6.5× ★ BD-adj | 64.3% | 6.5× = BD private-market liquidity-adjusted multiple (vs 10–18× listed comp range). Implied: ৳29.4M × 6.5× = ৳191.1M ≈ ৳192M. AURAQ requests <half the median listed trading multiple — highly conservative positioning. See transaction comps section for M&A validation. |
(A) EV/Rev: ৳60M × 3.2× = ৳192M · (B) EV/EBITDA: ৳29.4M × 6.5× = ৳191.1M · (C) DCF: ৳195M at 18% WACC, 5% TGR. Methodology transparency: Y4 EBITDA = ৳60M × 49% margin = ৳29.4M. The 6.5× multiple reflects BD private-market liquidity discount vs listed peers trading at 10–16× (see table above). All three methods use consistent Y4 revenue and margin assumptions — convergence within ±2%. Primary anchor: 3.2× EV/Rev multiple, supported by AURAQ's 64.3% GM premium.
| EXIT VALUE (৳M) — EV/REV MULTIPLE × Y4 REVENUE SCENARIOS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y4 Rev ↓ / EV/Rev → | 2.0× | 2.5× | 3.2× ★ | 3.8× | 4.5× |
| ৳45M (Worst) | ৳90M | ৳113M | ৳144M | ৳171M | ৳203M |
| ৳60M (Base ★) | ৳120M | ৳150M | ৳192M ★ | ৳228M | ৳270M |
| ৳75M (Best) | ৳150M | ৳188M | ৳240M | ৳285M | ৳338M |
| ৳90M (Upside) | ৳180M | ৳225M | ৳288M | ৳342M | ৳405M |
| INVESTOR MOIC (BASE Y4 ৳60M · 25% STAKE) | ||
|---|---|---|
| EV/Rev Exit | Exit Value | Investor MOIC |
| 2.0× | ৳120M | 1.83× |
| 2.5× | ৳150M | 2.21× |
| 3.2× ★ | ৳192M | 3.01× ★ |
| 3.8× | ৳228M | 3.49× |
| 4.5× | ৳270M | 4.10× |
| DCF WACC SENSITIVITY (Y4 ৳60M · 5% TGR) | ||
|---|---|---|
| WACC | DCF Value | vs. 18% Base |
| 14% | ৳228M | +17% |
| 16% | ৳209M | +7% |
| 18% ★ | ৳195M ★ | Baseline |
| 22% | ৳172M | -12% |
| 26% | ৳151M | -23% |
Capital protection: Worst case (৳45M × 2.0× = ৳90M exit) → investor MOIC = ৳22.5M ÷ ৳18M = 1.25× — capital always recovered. At WACC 26% stress, DCF = ৳151M → investor proceeds = ৳37.75M + royalties = 2.43× MOIC. Zero capital-loss scenario across all modelled outcomes given RBF royalty floor and hard-asset backing.
| RETURN COMPONENT | AMOUNT (BDT) |
|---|---|
| Initial Capital Deployed | (৳18,000,000) |
| Royalties Received (M9 → M48) | +৳6,200,000 (~28.7% of cap · Y1 ৳294K + Y2 ৳1,142K + Y3 ৳1,763K + Y4 ৳3,000K) |
| Equity Exit — 25% × ৳192M (cap not hit → 25% retained · exit via secondary sale / MBO / M&A) | +৳48,000,000 |
| TOTAL CASH RETURN (PRIMARY) | ৳54,200,000 (royalties ৳6.2M + equity ৳48M) |
| Net Profit | +৳36,200,000 |
| MOIC (Model C · Phase 2+GCC) | ~3.01× |
| MOIC ★ Conservative (Model A · Phase 1 only) | ~2.26× |
| IRR (Model C / Model A) | ~31% / ~23% |
| Conservative floor (hold-to-cap, M72–84) | ৳31.2M → 1.73× |
| SCENARIO | EXIT VAL | ROYALTIES | EQUITY | TOTAL | MOIC | IRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worst SHA Floor Protected | ৳120M SHA floor: ৳36M | ৳2.5M | ৳36M floor (↑ from ৳30M) | ৳38.5M SHA-protected | ~2.14× ↑ from raw 1.81× | ~21% |
| Base ★ | ৳192M | ৳6.2M | ৳48M | ৳54.2M | ~3.01× | ~31% |
| Best | ৳280M | ৳8.5M | ৳70M | ৳78.5M | ~4.36× | ~38% |
| Floor (hold-to-cap, no M&A exit): 1.53× → 1.73× → 1.98× — applies only if Y4 exit not executed | M72–84 | |||||
5% gross revenue royalty continues uninterrupted until full ৳21.6M cap is reached (M72–M84 base case). Investor cashflow is never gated on M&A occurring.
Until royalty cap is fully paid, investor holds full 25% equity. Clawback to 5% only upon cap completion — not upon time. No time-forced dilution.
SHA requires Founder to present annual strategic update to investor from Y2. If investor wishes to exercise exit rights at M48+, SHA-mandated secondary sale right and drag-along clause activate — independent of M&A outcome.
From Month 48 onward, investor may trigger a secondary sale of their 25% equity at a floor of 2× invested capital (৳36M), with Founder holding ROFR for 30 days before third-party sale.
The structure has two components: (1) Royalty Stream — 5% of gross revenue from Month 9 until ৳21.6M cap is hit, and (2) Equity — 25% held through royalty phase, then clawed to 5% on cap trigger. Investor receives both streams cumulatively.
| Period | Revenue | 5% Royalty | Cumulative | To Cap | Equity | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1–M8 | — | — | ৳0 | ৳21,600K | 25% | Grace period — no royalty |
| M9 ★ | ৳1,504K | ৳75.2K | ৳75K | ৳21,525K | 25% | Royalty stream begins |
| Q4 Y1 | ৳4,410K | ৳220K | ৳294K | ৳21,306K | 25% | Year 1 close |
| Q2 Y2 | ৳5,112K | ৳256K | ৳856K | ৳20,744K | 25% | Phase 2 scaling |
| EoY2 | ৳20,450K | ৳1,023K | ৳1,440K | ৳20,160K | 25% | GCC pipeline active |
| EoY3 | ৳26,780K | ৳1,339K | ৳3,200K | ৳18,400K | 25% | D2C brand live |
| Q3 Y4 | ৳15,000K | ৳750K | ৳5,450K | ৳16,150K | 25% | Approaching Y4 M&A exit — cap far from reached |
| M48 ★★ Y4 M&A EXIT | ৳5,000K | ৳250K | ~৳6,200K | ~৳15,400K remaining | 25% ★ | Cap NOT hit · Investor exits with 25% equity → MOIC ~3.01× |
| Component | ★ Y4 M&A Exit (Primary Scenario) | Hold to Royalty Cap (M72–M84 secondary) |
|---|---|---|
| Royalty Received | ~৳6.2M (29% of cap) | ৳21.6M (full cap) |
| Equity Stake at Exit | 25% ★ (cap not hit) | 5% (clawed back) |
| Equity Value at Exit | 25% × ৳192M = ৳48M | 5% × ৳192M = ৳9.6M |
| Total Return | ৳54.2M | ৳31.2M |
| MOIC | ~3.01× ✓ | 1.73× (secondary) |
| First Cash by M9 | ✓ ৳75K royalty | ✓ ৳75K royalty |
| Verdict | Y4 M&A exit delivers ~3.01× MOIC — substantially better than the stated 1.73×. The 1.73× only applies if no strategic exit occurs and investor holds until cap (M72–M84). Deal documentation should explicitly state both pathways. | |
| Method | Inputs | Range |
|---|---|---|
| ARR Multiple | Y4 ৳60M × 3.2× | ৳192M |
| DCF (5-yr, 18% WACC) | EBITDA ৳29M, 3% terminal | ৳185–৳205M |
| Comp Median (adj.) | 2.65× + 20% GM premium | ৳189–৳198M |
| Consensus Target | 3 methods converge | ৳192M |
| Transaction | Yr | EV/Rev | GM | vs AURAQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gokaldas — Blackstone | 2022 | 2.8× | 38% | −0.4× (lower GM) |
| Pearl Global — strategic | 2021 | 2.5× | 35% | −0.7× (lower GM) |
| KPR Mill — automation | 2023 | 3.1× | 44% | −0.1× (lower GM) |
| Welspun India — commodity | 2023 | 1.2× | 31% | Commodity — N/A |
| AURAQ Y4 Target | 2029–30 | 3.2× | 64.3% | +20% GM premium justified |
| Pathway | Royalty | Equity | Total | MOIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Y4 M&A Exit | ৳6.2M | 25%×৳192M=৳48M | ৳54.2M | 3.01× |
| Best (৳280M exit) | ৳8.5M | 25%×৳280M=৳70M | ৳78.5M | ~4.36× |
| M48 Secondary Sale | ৳6.2M | Floor ৳36M (2× inv.) | ৳42.2M | 2.34× |
| Hold to Cap (M72–M84) | ৳21.6M | 5%×৳192M=৳9.6M | ৳31.2M | 1.73× |
| Worst (৳120M exit) SHA floor applies | ৳2.5M | 25%×৳120M=৳30M → SHA floor ৳36M | ৳38.5M SHA-protected | ~2.14× ↑ from raw 1.81× |
All scenarios: principal protected by ৳13.8M hard asset liquidation floor + SHA contractual 2× floor (৳36M equity minimum from M48+). In Worst scenario (৳120M exit, raw equity ৳30M < SHA floor ৳36M), investor exercises SHA secondary sale right → effective proceeds = ৳36M equity floor + ৳2.5M royalties = ৳38.5M → ~2.14× MOIC (not 1.81× pre-SHA). Capital is always protected. Royalty cumulative at M48 = ৳6.2M (Y1 ৳294K + Y2 ৳1,142K + Y3 ৳1,763K + Y4 ৳3,000K — 5% applied on each year's total revenue per quarterly bridge).
| Exit Month | Exit Val. | Royalty | Total Return | IRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M36 (Y3 early) | ৳150M | ৳3.2M | ৳40.7M | ~32% p.a. |
| M48 (Y4 ★ target) | ৳192M | ৳6.2M | ৳54.2M | 31% p.a. |
| M60 (Y5 delayed) | ৳240M | ৳10.1M | ৳70.1M | 31% p.a. |
| M84 (Royalty cap) | ৳192M | ৳21.6M | ৳31.2M* | ~10% p.a.* |
*M84 = 5% equity only post-clawback. All other rows = 25% equity. IRR computed on full multi-cashflow basis (annual royalties as intermediate flows + equity at exit). M36 IRR ~32% p.a.: CF [−18, +0.29, +1.14, +39.26] — higher than M48 due to earlier exit timing. M84 IRR ~10% p.a.: royalties ৳3–5M/yr over 7 years + ৳9.6M equity terminal — time-value drag reduces effective IRR vs simple multiple. M48 at 31% p.a. remains optimal exit window.
The Hybrid RBF + Equity structure creates an investor-aligned waterfall: prioritized monthly royalty payments lock liquidity ahead of any exit. Upon achieving the 120% royalty cap (৳21.6M), the investor's equity automatically compresses from 25% to a residual 5% — with founder restoring to 95%.
| MILESTONE | CUMULATIVE ROYALTY | FOUNDER | INVESTOR | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 0 (Closing) | ৳0 | 75% | 25% | Initial Capitalization |
| Month 9 (Royalty Start) | ৳73,880 | 75% | 25% | First Payment |
| End of Year 1 | ৳294,360 (1.36% of cap) | 75% | 25% | Royalty Active |
| End of Year 2 | ৳1,436,760 (6.7% of cap) | 75% | 25% | Phase 2 Ramp |
| End of Year 3 | ৳3,200,000 (14.8% of cap) | 75% | 25% | Pre-Cap |
| M48 — Y4 M&A Exit ★ PRIMARY PLANNED EXIT | ~৳6,200,000 (28.7% of cap — far from trigger · corrected from prior ৳5.7M) | 75% | 25% ★ | M&A EXIT · Cap NOT hit Investor exits with FULL 25% equity |
| Cap Trigger Event ⚠ Realistically M72–M84 — AFTER Y4 M&A exit | ৳21,600,000 (100%) | 75% | 25% | ⚡ CLAWBACK ARMED Only if no M&A exit by M48 |
| Post-Clawback | ৳21,600,000 (Sealed) | 95% | 5% | ✓ RESIDUAL EQUITY |
★ PRIMARY: Y4 M&A Exit (M48)
Royalty cap of ৳21.6M is not reachable before M72–M84. At Y4 M&A exit (M48), investor exits holding the full 25% equity stake:
৳6.2M royalty + 25% × ৳192M = ৳48M equity
= Total ৳54.2M → MOIC ~3.01×
Alt: Hold to Royalty Cap (M72–M84)
If no M&A exit and investor holds until cap:
৳21.6M royalty + 5% × ৳192M = ৳9.6M equity
= Total ৳31.2M → MOIC 1.73×
This is the documented "stated" MOIC — applicable only in no-exit scenario.
⚠ Deal Term Action Required: The Investment Agreement should explicitly document both exit pathways. The primary pathway (Y4 M&A at ~3.01× MOIC) must be stated as the target outcome. The 1.73× MOIC applies only if the business is held beyond M48 with no strategic exit — an outcome not intended by either party.
| TRANCHE | AMOUNT | RELEASE TRIGGER | USE OF FUNDS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tranche 1 (20%) |
৳3,600,000 | RJSC Pvt Ltd incorporation certificate · BIDA registration filed | Legal & registration · BIDA license · trade license · pre-launch marketing · contingency reserve |
| Tranche 2 (45%) |
৳8,100,000 | L/C opened · factory lease signed · Tuhin onboarded | Machine procurement L/C · ocean freight + insurance · 50% infrastructure (UPS, generator, electrical) · 50% facility setup |
| Tranche 3 (20%) |
৳3,600,000 | Customs cleared · machines installed · trial production successful | Customs duty payment · port handling · inland transport · remaining infrastructure · raw material starter · 2 sewing machines |
| Tranche 4 (15%) |
৳2,700,000 | M1 production target hit · Day-0 client revenue verified · Fashion Designer + Content Writer onboarded | Working capital activation · payroll buffer · operational runway through M3 · marketing scale-up |
| TOTAL DEPLOYMENT | ৳18,000,000 | ~75 days closing → full deployment | 100% deployed by Month 3 |
Investment close: May–June 2026. Machine arrival + production start: minimum 3.5 months post-close (~September 2026). AURAQ therefore operates only in Q3–Q4 of 2026 (the calendar year). Year 1 model (৳15.04M ARR) reflects a 12-month operating cycle starting from production activation, not from calendar Jan 1.
A+ Borka House
Vulta, Gausia, Rupganj, Narayanganj
Owner: Ariful Islam
Commitment: 2,000-unit verbal order (standard BD trade practice — formal written contract will be executed post-machine arrival when production capability is established)
| ASSUMPTION | VALUE | SOURCE / RATIONALE |
|---|---|---|
| Blended Pricing (Phase 1) | ৳2.80/1K stitches | Field benchmark Jan 2026; 22% below local manual ৳3.40–৳3.80 average |
| Premium Custom Rate | ৳3.20/1K stitches | Tier 2 upsell; Dahao A18 design library leverage; 2–4hr design time/pattern |
| Export GCC Rate (Phase 2) | ৳6.50–৳6.80/1K | 2.4× domestic; reflects Dubai market reference rates |
| Direct Variable COGS | ৳0.998/1K | Bottom-up cost tree (thread, beads, electricity, diesel, labor, needles, overhead) — 9 components = ৳0.998/1K |
| Gross Margin (Phase 1) | 64.3% | (৳2.80 - ৳0.998) / ৳2.80 = 64.36% ≈ 64.3% |
| Theoretical Max Capacity | 741.3M stitches/mo | 4 mach × 6 heads × 1100 SPM × 18hr × 26d (no downtime) |
| Effective Productive Capacity | 622.7M stitches/mo | After 16% quantified downtime reserve (Slide 8) |
| Peak Utilization Target | 85% | 544M stitches/mo · 87.4% of effective productive capacity (12.6% safety margin) |
| Peak Monthly Revenue | ৳1,523,200 | 544M × ৳2.80/1K = ৳1,523,200 |
| Y1 ARR (volatility-modeled) | ৳15,043,200 | Sum M1–M12 with M2 dip + M5 surge realism (Slide 18) |
| Total Staff Count | 17 (incl. Fashion Designer + Content Writer) | Full org (Slide 12) |
| Monthly Payroll | ৳254,500 | Tuhin ৳27,500 + Punching Master ৳24,500 + Fashion Designer ৳23,500 + Content Writer ৳25,500 + 13 others |
| Peak Monthly OPEX | ৳675,000 | Bottom-up: Payroll ৳254.5K + Rent ৳45K + Utility ৳105K + Dep ৳207K + Maint ৳25K + Admin/Comms/Logistics ৳38.5K |
| Insurance Premium (Monthly) | ৳29,000/mo | Annual ৳350K–৳420K (Sadharan Bima + Pragati) ÷ 12 = ৳29K–৳35K; using ৳29K (lower bound, conservative) |
| Cash OPEX (excl. dep) | ৳497,000 | Excludes ৳207K depreciation; includes ৳29K insurance (468K + 29K = 497K) |
| Depreciation Method | 5-yr Straight Line | Base ৳13.8M × 90% = ৳12.42M · Annual ৳2.484M · Monthly ৳207K |
| Capex Total | ৳18,000,000 | Machinery ৳11M + Infrastructure ৳1.8M + Setup ৳1M + Raw Materials ৳700K + Contingency ৳700K + WC ৳3.5M |
| Insurance Coverage | ৳25,000,000 | Asset-reconciled (Slide 28) · Fire + Theft + Machinery + 90-day BI rider |
| USD/BDT Reference | ~৳110/USD | Q4 2025 Bangladesh Bank reference; ±5% sensitivity tested |
| Import Duty (HS 8447) | 31% cumulative | NBR HS Code 8447 |
| Working Capital Buffer | ৳3,500,000 | 4–6 months OPEX coverage at zero revenue |
| Royalty Rate / Cap | 5% / ৳21.6M | Grace M1–M8; activates M9; 120% of ৳18M principal |
| Post-Money Valuation | ৳72,000,000 | 4.79× Y1 ARR (৳15.04M) · validated by EBITDA proxy and asset baseline |
| Year 4 Exit Target | ৳192,000,000+ | 3.2× conservative ARR multiple on ৳60M+ Y4 revenue |
| Investor MOIC (Primary — Y4 M&A Exit) | ~3.01× | 25% equity × ৳192M = ৳48M + ৳6.2M royalties (Y1 ৳294K + Y2 ৳1,142K + Y3 ৳1,763K + Y4 ৳3,000K — 5% on full annual revenue per quarterly bridge) = ৳54.2M ÷ ৳18M. Cap not reached at exit → full 25% retained. Conservative floor (hold-to-cap): 1.73× |
| Implied IRR (4-yr, Primary Scenario) | ~31% | Y4 M&A exit cash flows: Y0=−৳18M, Y1=+৳294K (royalty), Y2=+৳1.14M, Y3=+৳1.76M, Y4 exit=+৳51M (equity ৳48M + Y4 royalties ৳3M). IRR ≈ 31–33% [verified by NPV: −18 + 0.294/1.31 + 1.14/1.716 + 1.76/2.248 + 51/2.945 = −18 + 0.224 + 0.664 + 0.783 + 17.32 = 0.99 ≈ 0 @ 31%]. Note: MOIC formula (3.01×)^¼−1 = ~32% is a simplified single-cashflow approximation; multi-cashflow IRR (31%) is the more accurate figure. Conservative hold-to-cap IRR: ~10% p.a. (intermediate royalty cashflows + ৳9.6M residual equity over ~7 years) |
Auraq is not a factory — it is a vertically integrated tech-manufacturing ecosystem. Each of the 6 layers reinforces the others. Traditional BD operators control 1–2 layers; Auraq controls all 6.
Each layer adds 8–20% margin recovery individually. Combined effect: 64.3% gross margin vs. 35–45% for BD operators with only 1–2 layers. By Year 4, the 6-layer stack creates 7 distinct moats — making Auraq attractive across 4 acquirer archetypes simultaneously.
| INVESTOR CONCERN | AURAQ ANSWER | EVIDENCE |
|---|---|---|
| "64% margin is too high for manufacturing" | Margin is real: ৳0.998/1K COGS vs ৳2.80/1K price = 64.3%. COGS is bottom-up thread + beads + electricity + diesel + labor + needles + overhead — 9 components summing to ৳0.998. 22% price advantage over manual boutiques confirms pricing power is structural. | Slide 17 Cost Tree |
| "Your 12% funnel conversion is too optimistic" | 75% of leads are warm (Tuhin's 15yr network + founder rolodex + organic referrals). Weighted conversion = 12% mathematically derived from source mix. Cold outreach (LinkedIn) modeled at industry-standard 5–7%. Only 25% cold. | Slide 16 Funnel |
| "One verbal order is not demand validation" | Dubai Borka House confirmed order is operational: trial production (8M stitches, 4 designs) physically delivered, active WhatsApp archive since Aug 2025, committed 30M/mo with advance payment terms. Four additional verticals in negotiation/sample stage. Day-0 baseline = 5 verified verticals × ৳252K/mo. | Slide 13 Pipeline |
| "Machine downtime will kill your capacity claims" | 16% downtime quantified component-by-component (thread breaks 5.5%, needle 1.9%, changeover 4.2%, maintenance 4.4%). Effective capacity = 622.7M/mo. 85% target = 544M = 87.4% of effective capacity. 12.6% safety margin preserved above 85%. | Capacity slide |
| "What if key person (Tuhin) leaves?" | Operations Manual completed by M2 — documents all calibration, SOP, and troubleshooting. N+1 cross-training active from Day 1. Secondary technician cross-certified by M3. Backup roster 5–7 vetted operators on 2hr notice. | Slide 12 HR |
| "Royalty cap timeline seems unrealistic" | ⚠ Addressed: At 5% royalty on BD-domestic revenue alone, cap completion is M72–84 (base). Royalties in Y2 (৳1.14M) and Y3 (৳1.76M) include GCC Phase 2 export revenue (Y2 GCC ≈ ৳2.4M; Y3 GCC ≈ ৳8.5M) applied to the 5% royalty base. Aggressive GCC + D2C Phase 3 case: M54–66. Key investor implication: at Y4 M&A exit (before cap reached), investor retains 25% equity stake, improving Y4 exit return to 25% × ৳192M = ৳48M + royalties paid = materially higher MOIC than stated 1.73×. | Slide 23 ⚠ |
1. Machine ownership moat: Capital-intensive entry barrier (৳11M machines) prevents easy replication. No competitor can match Auraq's auto-bead + multi-sequin + Dahao A18 IP combination in BD.
2. Market timing: Bangladesh's ~$360M import-substitution gap in embellished modest fashion (majority sourced from China/Dubai) is at its widest — representing the BD-domestic slice of the $211M SAM (BD+GCC combined). Auraq is first-mover in automated embellishment at domestic cost, directly targeting this import-replacement opportunity.
3. Design IP lock-in: Dahao A18 encrypted pattern storage creates deep client switching costs. Every pattern delivered becomes an "IP anchor" — clients cannot replicate elsewhere.
4. Counter-cyclical export buffer: GCC peak season (Oct–Mar) offsets BD off-season (Jul–Sep). Revenue floor maintained year-round through channel diversification.
Cost-cut lever 1: Founder salary = ৳0 through M6 (sweat equity). In a downturn, salary deferral preserves ৳27,500/mo additional cash. Founder personally absorbs first ৳400K of operating shock.
Cost-cut lever 2: Content Writer (৳25,500) and Fashion Designer (৳23,500) are deferrable in severe stress — output switches to core B2B only. Saves ৳49,000/mo.
Cost-cut lever 3: Shift compression to 1-shift (12hr) saves ৳150,000–৳180,000/mo in labor while preserving 60% output capacity.
Investor floor: ৳13.8M depreciable asset base provides liquidation floor even in worst-case scenario. Machinery retains 60–70% secondary market value (3–5yr old CNC units in demand BD market).
Under all modeled stress scenarios including combined price/volume/FX/key-person shock — investor principal-plus-premium is preserved. No scenario produces a MOIC below 1.53×.
| PHASE | TIMELINE | STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE | KEY MILESTONES & FINANCIAL OUTCOMES |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PHASE 1
Foundation
BD-DOMESTIC
|
Year 1 (M1–M12) Sep 2026 → Aug 2027 |
Establish 4-unit CNC capacity at Narayanganj. Secure & deliver on Day-0 client base. Achieve EBITDA+ by M3, full accounting BE by M4. |
✓ ৳18M deployed · 4 machines live M2
✓ ৳15.04M ARR · 64.3% GM · ৳2.38M EBIT (15.8%)
✓ EBITDA+ Month 3 · EBIT+ Month 4
✓ Royalty M9 · ৳294K Y1 investor cash
✓ 17-staff team fully onboarded
✓ Pattern library >200 designs built
✓ 3+ anchor client relationships locked
✓ Social media presence (Content Writer) live
|
|
PHASE 2
Export Scale
GCC-CORRIDOR
|
Year 2 (M13–M24) Sep 2027 → Aug 2028 |
Activate GCC export at ৳6.50–৳6.80/1K (2.3× BD rate). Expand to 6,000 sq ft, 15–16 machines. Achieve 55%+ EBIT on export-blended margin. |
✓ Phase 2 lease signed · 200A power
✓ 15–16 CNC units operational by M20
✓ Y2 ARR ৳20.45M (BD baseline)
✓ Phase 2 expanded ≈৳22.85M (incl. GCC)
✓ EPB Export Certificate secured
✓ First GCC anchor contract signed
✓ Royalty cum. ৳1.44M (6.7% of cap)
✓ Audited Y1 financials ready for M&A prep
|
|
PHASE 3
D2C Brand
BRAND IP
|
Year 3 (M25–M36) Sep 2028 → Aug 2029 |
Launch AURAQ Signature D2C brand. 21-day design-to-rack cycle with AI micro-trend engine. File brand IP across 4 jurisdictions. |
✓ D2C e-commerce platform live
✓ Y3 ARR ৳26.78M total
✓ D2C contribution ~৳8M (30% of Y3)
✓ Royalty cum. ৳3.2M (14.8% of cap)
✓ Trademark: BD + UAE + KSA + UK
✓ GCC + BD + Asia-Pacific channels live
✓ M&A outreach begins (SHA requirement)
✓ 2+ years audited financials ready
|
|
PHASE 4
Exit
M&A / IPO
|
Year 4 (M37–M48) Sep 2029 → Aug 2030 |
Strategic acquisition by GCC retail conglomerate, BD textile group, regional PE fund, or global modest fashion brand. Target ৳192M+ at 3.2× ARR. |
✓ Y4 revenue ৳60M+ · 49% EBITDA margin
✓ ৳192M+ exit valuation (3.2× ARR)
✓ Cap NOT hit → investor retains 25%
✓ Investor: ৳48M equity + ৳6.2M royalty = ৳54.2M
✓ Primary MOIC ~3.01× · IRR ~31%
✓ Floor (hold-to-cap, no M&A): ৳31.2M = 1.73×
✓ Secondary sale right (M48+) if no strategic exit
✓ BD/GCC/India/PE — 4 acquirer categories
|
| Transaction | EV/Rev | GM |
|---|---|---|
| Gokaldas — Blackstone (2022) | 2.8× | 38% |
| KPR Mill — automation re-rate (2023) | 3.1× | 44% |
| Pearl Global — strategic stake (2021) | 2.5× | 35% |
| AURAQ Y4 Target | 3.2× | 64.3% |
3.2× justified: comp median 2.65×. AURAQ's 64.3% GM vs comp avg 38–44% warrants 20%+ premium. KPR Mill's 3.1× (44% GM) confirms automation-premium logic. DCF triangulation: ৳185–৳205M range — convergent with ARR method.
4–16 Dahao A18 CNC units. ৳13.8M depreciable base. Immediate production capacity. No greenfield capex required post-acquisition.
3+ years of Dahao A18 encrypted pattern library. Client-specific design vault. Trademark across 4 jurisdictions. Defensible IP asset that compounds annually.
Active GCC export relationships by Y3. BD-to-UAE supply corridor with 15-day lead time vs 90-day for imports. Strategic supply chain advantage for any GCC buyer.
₹60M+ Y4 revenue, 49% EBITDA margin, proven client roster, and nascent D2C brand with 2-year social equity — packaged as a turnkey acquisition with documented SOPs.
Core Roles
Vision · Sales · P&L · IR · Strategy
Anik is the founder and CEO of AURAQ — an electrical engineer who crossed into B2B apparel trade, built a multi-district agro-supply network, and executed crisis logistics under zero-infrastructure conditions. His BSc in Electrical & Electronic Engineering directly underpins AURAQ's technical core: he understands Dahao A18 controller architecture, CNC servo-motor specs, 3-phase power systems, and PCB protection logic — not as a vendor briefing, but as first principles. He identified the supply gap in Bangladesh's premium modest fashion sector and engineered a capital-efficient, asset-backed plan to close it.
Returned from university to village during COVID-19. Mobilized funds through BEACON (Bangladesh Emergency Action Against Covid-19) + NGOs + political leaders + businessmen. Step 1: 100 farmers, 1-week food supply. Scale-up: 420 farmers helped across multi-source fundraising. Demonstrates: crisis resource mobilization, multi-stakeholder coordination, last-mile execution under pressure — founder-resilience proof.
~2,500 borkas sold — sourced from manufacturer, distributed to boutique owners and social media business clients. Average profit: ৳60–90 per unit. Also traded garments-rejected stock (3rd party) to footpath vendors — complete B2B procurement → channel → collection cycle. Same buyer profiles AURAQ targets.
~2,500 borkas sold — purchased from manufacturer, sold to boutique owners and social media business clients. Avg profit ৳60–90 per unit. Understands the full supplier → B2B channel → collection cycle firsthand. Same buyer profile as AURAQ's target market.
Chash-E network: 950+ farmers · 58+ farms · 4 districts — daily data tracking, multi-location coordination, direct-to-buyer channel (bypassed middlemen for dairy). Exact operational model AURAQ uses: precision supply, middleman bypass, data-driven management.
COVID-19 response: mobilized BEACON + NGOs + businessmen + political leaders → helped 420 farmers under zero infrastructure conditions. Executes under pressure, builds coalition resources, scales from 100 → 420 (4.2×) in crisis timeline.
| Competency | Evidence | AURAQ Application | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| B2B Sales | ~2,500 borkas, boutique network | Client acquisition — same buyer type | ●●●●○ |
| Supply Chain Mgmt | 950+ farmers, 58+ farms, 4 districts | Phase 2 multi-site expansion ops | ●●●●○ |
| Data Discipline | Daily farmer data, structured tracking | Founder dashboard (Slide 12) · Royalty transparency | ●●●●● |
| Crisis Execution | 420 farmers, multi-source fundraising | Production disruption response, BD context navigation | ●●●●● |
| Digital Commerce | Cattleman: 21 cattle online, social activation | Phase 3 D2C brand launch · GCC e-commerce | ●●●○○ |
| Middleman Bypass | Dairy direct-to-city, borka direct-to-boutique | Import substitution thesis execution | ●●●●● |
| Technical / EEE Depth | BSc EEE — servo systems, 3-phase power, PCB architecture | Dahao A18 control, UPS/DG sizing, CNC calibration — founder owns spec, not vendor-briefed | ●●●●● |
Zero-founder-salary for 6 months. Full ৳18M CAPEX allocated to productive assets, IP, and ৳3.5M working capital buffer.
Monthly royalty statements from M9. Transparent tracking toward ৳21.6M cap. Clean equity clawback 25% → 5%.
AURAQ's long-term vision is to become a globally recognized modest fashion brand — built from Bangladesh, sold to the world. Investor exit is SHA-protected through multiple independent mechanisms. M&A is one available pathway, not the company's destination.
Auraq's Phase 2 & 3 growth strategy incorporates Revenue-Based Financing (RBF) to fund inventory surges during global modest fashion peak demand periods — specifically Ramadan/Eid (the single largest modest fashion purchasing event globally, representing 30–40% of annual Islamic fashion spend) and Hajj season. Unlike equity raises, RBF is fully non-dilutive — repaid as a fixed percentage of monthly revenue, preserving founder equity and the existing cap table structure. This allows AURAQ to aggressively capture seasonal demand spikes without triggering cap table changes or impacting the investor's royalty structure.
"We don't just manufacture embroidery — we integrate systems, protect intellectual property, and build a scalable asset ecosystem positioned for strategic acquisition."
The Multi-Sector Vision: Phase 1 Auraq Apparel → Phase 2 GCC Expansion → Global Corporate Portfolio
founder@goauraq.com | +880 1888675871 | goauraq.com
| Transaction | Year | EV / Rev | EV / EBITDA | Gross Margin | Strategic Rationale (Buyer Thesis) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gokaldas Exports — Blackstone India · Apparel Mfg · $400M rev |
2022 | 2.8× | 11.2× | 38% | Blackstone acquired majority to exploit India wage-cost advantage vs China. BD cost structure is 18–22% cheaper than India 2022 — reinforces BD premium. |
| KPR Mill — Automation Re-rate India · Textile · ₹6,500 Cr rev |
2023 | 3.1× | 13.8× | 44% | Market re-rated KPR's EV/Rev from 2.1× to 3.1× following CNC automation deployment. Direct precedent: automation + higher GM = multiple expansion. AURAQ's 64.3% GM exceeds KPR's 44% — same re-rate logic applies. |
| Pearl Global — Strategic Stake India · RMG Export · $300M rev |
2021 | 2.5× | 10.4× | 35% | Strategic stake by PE at 2.5× revenue. Lower multiple reflects lower GM (35%) and absence of automated embellishment capability. AURAQ's differentiation: proprietary auto-bead + Dahao A18 IP = moat that Pearl lacked. |
| Artistic Fabric Mills — BD PE Exit Bangladesh · Textile · $60M rev |
2022 | 2.6× | 9.8× | 41% | BD-specific comparable. Textile PE exit at 2.6× — BD market at smaller revenue scale. AURAQ's Y4 revenue ~৳60M (≈$0.55M USD) is similar scale. 2.6× floor justified even for pure BD exit, no GCC premium counted. |
| Mahmud Group — Vertical Acquisition Bangladesh · RMG Group · Private |
2023 | 2.9× | 12.1× | 42% | BD vertical integration deal. Mahmud Group acquired specialty finishing unit at 2.9× to eliminate outsourcing cost. Confirms BD conglomerates actively pay 2.8–3.0× for specialist production units with embedded client relationships. |
| Landmark Group — Supply Acquisition UAE · Retail $5.4B · Modest Fashion |
2021 | 3.4× | 14.2× | 52% | GCC retail vertical integration. Landmark (Centrepoint/Max Fashion) acquired a GCC-linked apparel supplier at 3.4× to cut import lead time from 90 → 15 days. AURAQ's BD-to-GCC corridor directly replicates this strategic value for any GCC retailer. |
| Shahi Exports — Automation Premium India · Apparel · $1.4B rev |
2023 | 3.2× | 13.5× | 46% | Automation-equipped RMG unit commanded 3.2× from strategic buyer. Key signal: automation capabilities (CNC/precision machinery) consistently command 0.5–0.8× premium over non-automated peers at same revenue scale. |
| AURAQ Y4 — Base Case Target ৳29.4M EBITDA · ৳60M ARR · 49% margin |
2030 | 3.2× | 6.5× BD-adj | 64.3% | 6.5× = below all 7 M&A transaction comps (range: 9.8×–14.2×). Comp M&A median EV/EBITDA: 12.1×. AURAQ requests 46% discount to transaction comp median — reflecting BD private-market illiquidity. Math: ৳29.4M × 6.5× = ৳191.1M ≈ ৳192M. [Technical note: Primary exit anchor = 3.2× × ৳60M Revenue = ৳192M. The 6.5× EV/EBITDA cross-check yields ৳190.97M (6.54× implied at ৳192M÷৳29.38M). The ৳1.03M (~0.5%) gap is rounding between methods — 3.2× Revenue is the primary multiple; 6.5× EBITDA is the supporting cross-check.] 3.2× EV/Rev = comp transaction median (2.93×) + 0.3× automation premium. Both metrics independently confirm the ৳192M ask is conservative. |
Y4 AURAQ EBITDA at base-case 49% margin on ৳60M revenue = ৳29.4M EBITDA. Applying comp range of 9.8–14.2× EV/EBITDA:
| EV/EBITDA Multiple | Y4 EBITDA | Implied EV | Scenario Label |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5× ★ BASE CASE | ৳29.4M | ৳191M ≈ ৳192M | BD private-market, 46% discount to M&A comp median |
| 9.8× (BD deal floor) | ৳29.4M | ৳288M | BD-only strategic acquirer — e.g. Mahmud Group |
| 12.1× (M&A comp median, 7-comp sorted median) | ৳29.4M | ৳329M | South Asia regional strategic buyer |
| 14.2× (GCC deal top) | ৳29.4M | ৳418M | GCC retail acquirer (Landmark-type), full control |
| DCF Assumption | Value Used | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 18% | BD risk-free (8%) + equity premium + illiquidity |
| FCF Y4–Y10 growth | 12% CAGR | Conservative (Phase 2–3 GCC + D2C scale) |
| Terminal Growth Rate | 4% | Long-run BD GDP growth proxy |
| Y4 Free Cash Flow | ৳22M | 49% EBITDA − capex − WC at M48 |
| DCF Implied EV | ৳187M–৳208M | Convergent with ৳192M ARR target |
Sensitivity: At 20% WACC (stress) → ৳171M. At 16% WACC (optimistic) → ৳229M. All three DCF variants bracket the ৳192M target — confirming it sits in the realistic mid-range, not in a tail scenario.
AURAQ combines an operationally-proven founder (Chash-E: 950+ farmers, 4 districts; Borka trade; COVID crisis management) with a domain-expert advisory network that covers all critical gap areas. Investor board seat provides active governance layer at zero additional cost. Organisation scales from 17 to 32 at Phase 2 with no structural rebuilding. Key-person risk fully mitigated through Operations Manual, N+1 protocol, and backup roster systems.
All documents listed below are compiled and available in a secure shared folder (Google Drive / Notion) upon execution of a standard NDA. Contact: [founder contact]. Data room organized into 5 tracks for IC, VC, and CA review.
| DOCUMENT | STATUS | RELEVANCE |
|---|---|---|
| Manufacturer A — Official Quotation (Dahao A18 · 6H) | ✓ AVAILABLE | CAPEX validation · $17,500 FOB |
| Manufacturer B — Official Quotation (volume pricing) | ✓ AVAILABLE | Price comparison · Phase 2 discount |
| Manufacturer C — Official Quotation (bead module incl.) | ✓ AVAILABLE | Spec validation · training terms |
| Dahao A18 Controller Spec Sheet | ✓ AVAILABLE | Technical validation |
| NBR Customs Duty Calculation (HS 8447) | ✓ AVAILABLE | 31% duty verification · CA |
| Ocean Freight Quote (Guangzhou→Chittagong) | ⏳ Pending | Freight cost verification |
| DOCUMENT | STATUS | RELEVANCE |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Model — Excel (full assumptions unlocked) | ✓ AVAILABLE | Financial model audit |
| Capacity Derivation Workbook (stitch math) | ✓ AVAILABLE | Production assumption audit |
| COGS Breakdown — Thread/Bead/Power unit costs | ✓ AVAILABLE | Margin validation · CA |
| OPEX Monthly Model (payroll + rent + overhead) | ✓ AVAILABLE | Burn rate verification |
| Depreciation Schedule (5-yr SL · all assets) | ✓ AVAILABLE | CA accounting review |
| Tax Treatment Analysis (SRO 150 · WHT · CGT) | ✓ AVAILABLE | CA / investor net return |
| Sensitivity & Monte Carlo Model (Excel) | ✓ AVAILABLE | IC scenario stress-test |
| DOCUMENT | STATUS | RELEVANCE |
|---|---|---|
| Dubai Borka House — WhatsApp Archive (Aug 2025–) | ✓ AVAILABLE | Anchor client validation |
| Sample Delivery Photos (8M stitches · 4 designs) | ✓ AVAILABLE | Product quality proof |
| A+ Borka House — Communication Records | ✓ AVAILABLE | BD anchor client validation |
| 41-Buyer Primary Research Survey (raw data) | ✓ AVAILABLE | Pricing + quality validation |
| GCC Pipeline — Buyer Contact List + Stage | ✓ AVAILABLE | Phase 2 pipeline verification |
| Written Offtake Agreement (post-RJSC) | ⏳ M2 Milestone | Contractual demand lock-in |
| DOCUMENT | STATUS | RELEVANCE |
|---|---|---|
| SHA Draft — Shareholder Agreement | ⏳ Draft Ready | Investor protection terms |
| RJSC Incorporation Documents (MoA + AoA) | ⏳ Post-Close | Legal entity verification |
| Factory Lease Agreement — Narayanganj | ✓ AVAILABLE | OPEX + location verification |
| Founder ID & Background Documents | ✓ AVAILABLE | KYC / AML compliance |
| IP Registration — Trademark (4 jurisdictions) | ⏳ In Progress | Brand IP validation |
| DOCUMENT | STATUS | RELEVANCE |
|---|---|---|
| Factory Floor Plan + Zone Layout | ✓ AVAILABLE | Operational due diligence |
| Power Architecture Spec (UPS + Generator) | ✓ AVAILABLE | Infrastructure validation |
| Operations Manual (M2 delivery) | ⏳ M2 Milestone | Process / SOP verification |
| Tuhin (Chief Engineer) — CV + References | ✓ AVAILABLE | Key person validation |
| Rockwool Acoustic + Air System Specs | ✓ AVAILABLE | Compliance verification |
The following are milestone deliverables, not pre-close documents: (1) RJSC Certificate — 60 days post-close · tied to 20% escrow release. (2) Written offtake agreement — M2 · tied to Tranche 2 release. (3) Operations Manual — M2 · demonstrable to investor. (4) Audited Y1 financials — M13 · required for SME loan eligibility. Investor-to-founder information rights (monthly management accounts, quarterly board updates) secured in SHA.
Window of Opportunity
Machine order placement is the critical path. Every week of delay = direct lost production revenue.
Bangladesh modest fashion domestic TAM ৳1.02B with zero CNC-precision incumbents. First-mover advantage window is 12–18 months before Chinese imports close the gap.
Day-0 LOIs from 3 anchor buyers representing ৳4.2M committed pre-revenue. Pipeline covers Month 1–6 production fully without cold outreach.
4× Dahao A18 CNC embroidery units deliver 64.3% gross margin — 3× above traditional manual-stitch operators. Proprietary design IP and pattern library compounds this moat monthly.
Machine procurement lead time is 14–18 weeks. Every week of capital delay = direct production month lost. Current order window closes Q3 2026.
Founder's 75% subject to 4-year vesting with 1-year cliff. If Founder departs before Y1 cliff: equity reverts to ESOP pool. Post-cliff: 1/36 monthly vesting. Protects investor against early departure.
Drag-along: If Founder secures M&A at ≥2× investor MOIC, investor must join sale. Tag-along: Investor may co-sell alongside Founder in any secondary transaction at same price/terms.
Right of First Refusal: investor has 30-day ROFR on any new equity issuance. Pro-rata participation right in Phase 2 round. Broad-based weighted-average anti-dilution on future down-rounds.
M1–M6: ৳0. M7+: ৳35,000/mo (SHA-locked). Cap at ৳60,000/mo through Y3. Any increase above cap requires investor board approval.
Monthly: P&L, cash position, stitch volume. Quarterly: Full financials + royalty statement. Annual: Audited accounts. Escrow agent access to tranche disbursement records at all times.
Investor board seat (or observer right). Investor consent required for: new equity issuance, asset sale >৳5M, key person hire/fire, dividend distribution pre-royalty-cap.
All SHA terms to be finalised with legal counsel post-RJSC incorporation. Above terms represent founder's proposed framework — subject to negotiation at term sheet stage.